{"id":14867,"date":"2026-10-16T00:15:11","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T21:15:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/?p=14867"},"modified":"2026-10-15T21:58:07","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T18:58:07","slug":"mediterrolio-olive-oil-market-report-week-of-october-16-2026-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/it\/mediterrolio-olive-oil-market-report-week-of-october-16-2026-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Mediterrolio Olive Oil Market Report \u2014 Week of October 16, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"14867\" class=\"elementor elementor-14867\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-5f3a00d elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"5f3a00d\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3d1f8e0b\" data-id=\"3d1f8e0b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-670cc9f0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"670cc9f0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<script src=\"https:\/\/cdnjs.cloudflare.com\/ajax\/libs\/Chart.js\/4.4.1\/chart.umd.min.js\"><\/script>\n\n<style>\n#mro-root { max-width: 100% !important; 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padding: 36px 24px 30px; margin-bottom: 32px; border-radius: 8px; text-align: center; position: relative; overflow: hidden;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: 'Inter',sans-serif; font-size: 11px; letter-spacing: 5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: rgba(255,255,255,0.6); margin-bottom: 10px;\">Weekly Intelligence Report<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: 'Playfair Display',Georgia,serif; font-size: 34px; font-weight: bold; color: #ffffff; line-height: 1.15; margin-bottom: 8px; letter-spacing: -0.5px;\">The Mediterrolio Index<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: 'Inter',sans-serif; font-size: 13px; color: rgba(255,255,255,0.75); letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; margin-bottom: 16px;\">Mediterranean Olive Oil Price Index (MOPI) | October 16, 2026<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: inline-block; background: rgba(201,168,76,0.25); border: 1px solid rgba(201,168,76,0.55); color: #f5edd0; font-family: 'Inter',sans-serif; font-size: 11px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; padding: 5px 18px; border-radius: 20px;\">Updated: October 16, 2026<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div id=\"mro-root\" style=\"padding: 0 24px 0 24px; box-sizing: border-box; max-width: 100%; overflow-x: hidden;\">\n\n<!-- NEWSLETTER SUBSCRIPTION BOX -->\n<div style=\"background: linear-gradient(135deg,#3d4f22 0%,#4a6030 100%); border-radius: 10px; padding: 36px 28px; margin-top: 40px; text-align: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: 10px; letter-spacing: 4px; text-transform: uppercase; color: rgba(255,255,255,0.5); font-family: Arial,sans-serif; margin-bottom: 10px;\">Weekly Intelligence<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 24px; font-weight: bold; color: #ffffff; line-height: 1.2; margin-bottom: 8px;\">\ud83d\udcec Get the Report in Your Inbox<\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 36px; height: 2px; background: #c9a84c; margin: 0 auto 16px;\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 13px; color: rgba(255,255,255,0.78); margin: 0 auto 22px; max-width: 460px; line-height: 1.65; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\">Join hundreds of olive oil professionals \u2014 producers, importers, traders and investors \u2014 who receive the Mediterrolio Market Update every <strong style=\"color: #fff;\">Friday morning<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<div id=\"mro-brevo-wrap\" style=\"max-width: 420px; 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color: rgba(255,255,255,0.4); font-style: italic; margin: 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\">\ud83c\udf81 New subscribers receive: <em>\"How to Read an Olive Oil Price Report\"<\/em> \u2014 free 12-page PDF guide.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- UPDATE BOX -->\n<div class=\"mu\"><strong>The Mediterrolio Index (MOPI) \u00b7 October 16, 2026.<\/strong> The last missing number is in. AICA's September data close the 2025\/26 campaign with 356,914 t of carry-in stocks (vs 290,540 t a year earlier) and 1,305,828 t of production \u2014 so Spain enters 2026\/27 with the 1.6 Mt aforo plus ~357,000 t in tanks. COAG has already run the 167a arithmetic: with average imports of 218,000 t, it puts the oil to be withdrawn at around 188,700 t, or 11.78% of each mill's output. Prices, meanwhile, are trying to find a floor: Oleista's Spanish reading moves to \u20ac3.16\/kg (W42, October 15, +0.6% on our last print) after touching \u20ac3.26\/kg on October 13, while Poolred's weekly average for October 3\u20139 eased to \u20ac3.20\/kg (-2.6%). Italy is this week's big mover \u2014 down 5.8% to \u20ac4.37\/kg (Oleista W41 \/ ISMEA), 52.8% below a year ago, with Bari at \u20ac4.30\/kg and Foggia at \u20ac4.00\/kg. Greece holds at \u20ac3.66\/kg (no new print), Portugal edges to \u20ac3.48\/kg (W40) and Tunisia stays at \u20ac3.53\/kg (W40), where growers now expect a harvest 30\u201340% smaller. A first industry forecast puts world output at 3.50\u20133.65 Mt against ~3.25 Mt of consumption. The euro steadied at $1.1208 (ECB, October 15).<\/div>\n\n<!-- BUYER SIGNAL -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">\ud83c\udfaf Buyer's Signal of the Week<\/div>\n<div class=\"msignal\" style=\"background-color: #3d4f22; padding: 22px 28px !important;\">\n<div class=\"msignal-week\">Week of October 12 \u2013 October 16, 2026<\/div>\n<div class=\"msignal-title\">3 Actionable Moves for This Week<\/div>\n<ul class=\"msignal-list\">\n<li><span class=\"ico\">\ud83e\uddf1<\/span>\n<strong>SPAIN IS TESTING A FLOOR AROUND \u20ac3.15\u2013\u20ac3.20 \u2014 FINISH YOUR OCTOBER TRANCHE NOW.<\/strong> Oleista (\u20ac3.16\/kg, W42) and Poolred (\u20ac3.20\/kg, October 3\u20139) have converged after last week's \u20ac0.20 gap. With the 167a decision due in the first half of November, the risk\/reward of waiting is no longer one-sided: book the October\u2013December volume you still need before the policy outcome is known.<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"ico\">\u2696\ufe0f<\/span>\n<strong>CARRY-IN CONFIRMED AT 356,914 T \u2014 RUN YOUR CONTRACTS AGAINST AN ~11.8% WITHDRAWAL SCENARIO.<\/strong> COAG estimates a withdrawal of ~188,700 t (11.78% of each mill's output) if the rule is triggered. The order must be approved before October 31; activation requires availability \u2265120% of the six-campaign average. Put price-review clauses into every Q1 2027 contract.<\/li>\n<li><span class=\"ico\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9<\/span>\n<strong>ITALIAN BULK AT A ONE-YEAR LOW \u2014 A WINDOW FOR ITALIAN-ORIGIN PROGRAMMES.<\/strong> ISMEA puts Italian EVOO at \u20ac4.37\/kg (-5.9% w\/w, -52.8% YoY), with Foggia at \u20ac4.00\/kg and Bari at \u20ac4.30\/kg. Buyers who need \"100% Italian\" labels can lock old-crop or first new-crop lots at the narrowest Italy\u2013Spain gap (\u20ac1.21\/kg) we have recorded this campaign \u2014 with CoA and traceability checks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- GOLD MEMBER SPOTLIGHT -->\n<div style=\"border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-top: 3px solid #c9a84c; border-radius: 6px; padding: 16px 20px; margin: 32px 0; background: #fff; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #c9a84c; margin-bottom: 12px;\">\u2b50 Gold Member Spotlight \u00b7 Week 42<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 18px; align-items: center; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div style=\"flex-shrink: 0;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/listing\/the-circle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" style=\"border-radius: 6px; display: block; object-fit: cover; border: 1px solid #dde8cc;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/468619600_1180566367409779_5428389633398722164_n.jpg\" alt=\"The Circle Extra Virgin Olive Oil\" width=\"90\" height=\"90\" \/>\n<\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 200px;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; margin-bottom: 3px;\"><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/listing\/the-circle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">The Circle<\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; margin-bottom: 6px;\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Rome, Lazio, Italy \u00b7 Sustainable Circular Farm \u00b7 IFS Food \u00b7 Vegan Certified<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 13px; color: #555; line-height: 1.6;\">The Circle is a Rome-based farm built on a sustainable, competitive development model that aims to produce the highest-quality food with no impact on the environment. Its vertical aquaponic system \u2014 where nutrients from fish feed the plants and the plants purify the water \u2014 creates a continuous, circular production cycle, and the farm couples its agricultural, energy and economic processes so that no polluting waste is produced. Alongside its Italian extra virgin olive oil, The Circle holds IFS Food and Vegan certifications \u2014 a forward-looking example of innovation in Italian food production as the country's 2026\/27 harvest gets under way.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex-shrink: 0; text-align: center;\"><a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #3d4f22; color: #fff; text-decoration: none; padding: 9px 20px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; border-radius: 5px; white-space: nowrap;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/listing\/the-circle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">View Profile \u2192<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- INDUSTRY NEWS -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">\ud83d\udcf0 Industry News This Week<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews\">\n<div class=\"mnews-item\">\n<div class=\"mdot\" style=\"background-color: #c9a84c;\"><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"mnews-tag\">Stocks \u00b7 Spain \u00b7 AICA Carry-In: 356,914 t<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews-text\"><strong>Spain closes 2025\/26 with 356,914 t in stock, 66,374 t more than a year earlier.<\/strong> AICA's provisional September data put cumulative 2025\/26 production at 1,305,828 t and September outflows at 123,486 t. Stocks split almost evenly between mills (175,745 t) and packers\/refiners (178,292 t), with 2,878 t in the Patrimonio Comunal Olivarero. Sales over the campaign exceeded 102% of national production.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews-item\">\n<div class=\"mdot\" style=\"background-color: #7a4a9c;\"><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"mnews-tag\">Policy \u00b7 Spain \u00b7 167a Arithmetic<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews-text\"><strong>COAG calculates a potential withdrawal of ~188,700 t \u2014 11.78% of each mill's output.<\/strong> The estimate combines the 1.602 Mt aforo, 357,000 t of carry-in and 218,000 t of average imports. Activation requires opening stocks plus estimated output at or above 120% of the six-campaign average, and any withdrawal is capped at 20%. Farm groups want it from the start of the campaign; the packing industry is divided. Decision: first half of November.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews-item\">\n<div class=\"mdot\" style=\"background-color: #2e8b1a;\"><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"mnews-tag\">Global \u00b7 2026\/27 Output 3.50\u20133.65 Mt<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews-text\"><strong>A first industry forecast puts world production above demand for 2026\/27.<\/strong> Preliminary figures circulated by the World Olive Oil Exhibition put output at 3.50\u20133.65 Mt against consumption of ~3.25 Mt. Spain would supply ~46% of the total; Italy could reach 325,000 t, Greece ~300,000 t and Portugal close to 180,000 t, while Tunisia, T\u00fcrkiye and Morocco are seen lower and Syria rising from ~66,000 t to 191,000 t.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews-item\">\n<div class=\"mdot\" style=\"background-color: #c0392b;\"><\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"mnews-tag\">Tunisia \u00b7 Exports Up, Next Crop Down<\/div>\n<div class=\"mnews-text\"><strong>Tunisian olive oil export receipts reached 4.0 billion dinars by end-September, +37.4% year-on-year (INS, October 12).<\/strong> For 2026\/27, a member of the Tunisian olive growers' union expects the harvest to fall 30\u201340%; Sidi Bouzid estimates about 350,000 t of olives against roughly 500,000 t last season.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- PRODUCER PRICES -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">Weekly Producer Prices (At Source)<\/div>\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Region \/ Country<\/th>\n<th>Extra Virgin (EVOO)<\/th>\n<th>Virgin (VOO)<\/th>\n<th>Trend<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=spain&#038;sort=latest\">Spain<\/a><\/strong> (National \u00b7 Oleista W42, October 15)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.07 \u2013 \u20ac3.26\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac3.16<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac2.91 \u2013 \u20ac3.09\/kg \u00b7 avg \u20ac3.00<\/td>\n<td class=\"tf\">\u2194 +0.6% \u00b7 Stabilising; Poolred \u20ac3.20\/kg (Oct 3\u20139, -2.6%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=italy&#038;sort=latest\">Italy<\/a><\/strong> (National \u00b7 Oleista W41 \/ ISMEA)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.00 \u2013 \u20ac4.45\/kg (ISMEA piazze) \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac4.37<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.20\/kg<\/td>\n<td class=\"td\">\u2193 -5.8% \u00b7 Fourth straight fall; -52.8% YoY (ISMEA)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=greece&#038;sort=latest\">Greece<\/a><\/strong> (National \u00b7 Oleista W41)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.56 \u2013 \u20ac3.76\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac3.66<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac2.80\/kg<\/td>\n<td class=\"tf\">\u2194 0.0% \u00b7 No new print; first new-crop deal \u20ac5.95\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=tunisia&#038;sort=latest\">Tunisia<\/a><\/strong> (Export \u00b7 Oleista W40, September 28)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.40 \u2013 \u20ac3.66\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac3.53<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac2.53\/kg (Lampant, W40, Oct 4)<\/td>\n<td class=\"tf\">\u2194 No fresh reading \u00b7 Crop seen 30\u201340% lower<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=croatia&#038;sort=latest\">Croatia<\/a><\/strong> (Istria\/Dalmatia \u00b7 Boutique)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac13.50 \u2013 \u20ac16.00\/kg (Istria) \u00b7 \u20ac10.00\u2013\u20ac13.00\/kg (Dalmatia)<\/td>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<td class=\"tf\">\u2194 Boutique, detached from bulk \u00b7 Early-harvest milling under way<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=portugal&#038;sort=latest\">Portugal<\/a><\/strong> (National \u00b7 Oleista W40, September 28)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.32 \u2013 \u20ac3.64\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac3.48<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.34\/kg (W40, Sept 28)<\/td>\n<td class=\"tf\">\u2194 -0.6% \u00b7 Farm groups warn prices below costs<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=turkey&#038;sort=latest\">Turkey<\/a><\/strong> (Export \u00b7 Izmir \u00b7 W13, stale)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.20 \u2013 \u20ac4.60\/kg \u00b7 avg \u20ac4.39<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.26\/kg (Lampant)<\/td>\n<td class=\"tf\">\u2194 No fresh reading \u00b7 Oil export season opens November 1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a style=\"color: #3d4f22; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&#038;region=morocco&#038;sort=latest\">Morocco<\/a><\/strong> (Export \u00b7 F\u00e8s-Mekn\u00e8s)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.00 \u2013 \u20ac4.30\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<td class=\"tf\">\u2194 Stable \u00b7 12.5% Section 301 duty settled, 12th week<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n<!-- WHOLESALE BANNER -->\n<div style=\"background: linear-gradient(135deg,#1a2e4a 0%,#1e3a5f 55%,#24497a 100%); border-radius: 10px; padding: 24px 28px; margin: 32px 0; position: relative; overflow: hidden;\">\n<div style=\"position: absolute; top: -40px; right: -40px; width: 200px; height: 200px; border-radius: 50%; border: 1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.06);\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; letter-spacing: 4px; text-transform: uppercase; color: rgba(255,255,255,.4); margin-bottom: 10px; position: relative; z-index: 2;\">Mediterrolio Wholesale \u2014 B2B Storefronts<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff; margin-bottom: 6px; position: relative; z-index: 2;\">Are you an olive oil buyer or retailer?<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 13px; color: rgba(255,255,255,.7); line-height: 1.65; margin: 0 0 18px; max-width: 520px; position: relative; z-index: 2;\">Browse and order premium Mediterranean EVOO directly from our curated producers \u2014 available on the world's leading B2B wholesale platforms.<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 12px; flex-wrap: wrap; position: relative; z-index: 2;\">\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.orderchamp.com\/store\/mediterolio\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"flex: 1 1 200px; background: rgba(255,255,255,0.10); border: 1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.22); border-radius: 8px; padding: 14px 18px; text-decoration: none; display: block;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: rgba(255,255,255,.5); margin-bottom: 6px;\">#1 EU Wholesale Platform<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold; color: #ffffff; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Orderchamp<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: rgba(255,255,255,.5); margin-bottom: 10px;\">Germany \u00b7 Netherlands \u00b7 Belgium \u00b7 EU<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: inline-block; background: #c9a84c; color: #1e2d10; padding: 6px 16px; border-radius: 4px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold;\">Browse our store \u2192<\/div>\n<\/a>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.faire.com\/brand\/b_phspg38gyv\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"flex: 1 1 200px; background: rgba(255,255,255,0.10); border: 1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.22); border-radius: 8px; padding: 14px 18px; text-decoration: none; display: block;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: rgba(255,255,255,.5); margin-bottom: 6px;\">700,000+ Retailers Worldwide<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold; color: #ffffff; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Faire<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: rgba(255,255,255,.5); margin-bottom: 10px;\">USA \u00b7 Europe \u00b7 Canada \u00b7 Australia<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: inline-block; background: #c9a84c; color: #1e2d10; padding: 6px 16px; border-radius: 4px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold;\">Browse our store \u2192<\/div>\n<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color: rgba(255,255,255,.3); margin-top: 12px; position: relative; z-index: 2;\">Premium \u00b7 Non-mass-market \u00b7 Curated by Mediterrolio \u00b7 <a style=\"color: rgba(255,255,255,.4);\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/mediterrolio-wholesale\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Learn more \u2192<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- CHART -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">\ud83d\udcc8 12-Month EVOO Price History (\u20ac\/kg)<\/div>\n<div class=\"mchart-wrap\">\n<div class=\"mchart-btns\">\n<button class=\"mbtn on\" onclick=\"mroAll(this)\">All Origins<\/button>\n<button class=\"mbtn\" onclick=\"mroOnly(this,0)\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain<\/button>\n<button class=\"mbtn\" onclick=\"mroOnly(this,1)\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy<\/button>\n<button class=\"mbtn\" onclick=\"mroOnly(this,2)\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece<\/button>\n<button class=\"mbtn\" onclick=\"mroOnly(this,3)\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia<\/button>\n<\/div>\n<canvas id=\"mroCanvas\" height=\"160\"><\/canvas>\n<div class=\"mchart-note\">Wholesale EVOO bulk prices at source (\u20ac\/kg), monthly midpoints Nov 2025 \u2192 Oct 2026. Sources: IOC, POOLred\/Mercacei, ISMEA, Oleista. Oct 2026 reflects mid-month readings: W42 (Spain, October 15), W41 (Italy, Greece) and W40 (Tunisia, September 28).<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- MARKET SUMMARY -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">Market Summary &amp; Forecasts<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Week 42 completed Spain's balance sheet. AICA confirmed 356,914 t of carry-in stocks at September 30 \u2014 66,374 t more than a year earlier \u2014 so total availability for 2026\/27 approaches 1.96 Mt before imports. After last week's sharp fall, Spanish prices are trying to stabilise: Oleista's national average moved to \u20ac3.16\/kg (W42, +0.6%), having printed \u20ac3.26\/kg on October 13, and Poolred's average for October 3\u20139 eased to \u20ac3.20\/kg (-2.6%), closing most of last week's gap between the two references. Italy is now the weakest market: ISMEA and Oleista both put Italian EVOO at \u20ac4.37\/kg (-5.8%), with Foggia at \u20ac4.00\/kg and Bari at \u20ac4.30\/kg, and the year-on-year fall at 52.8%. Greece holds at \u20ac3.66\/kg (no new print), Portugal eases to \u20ac3.48\/kg (W40, -0.6%) and Tunisia remains at \u20ac3.53\/kg (W40). The policy timetable is fixed: the 2026\/27 marketing order must be approved before October 31 and the Ministry will decide on a withdrawal in the first half of November; COAG's estimate of ~188,700 t (11.78%) gives the market a concrete number to price. Globally, a first industry forecast of 3.50\u20133.65 Mt of output against ~3.25 Mt of demand points to a surplus year. Our read: Spanish prices are likely to move sideways in a \u20ac3.10\u2013\u20ac3.30\/kg range until the 167a decision; a confirmed withdrawal is the main upside risk, while large early-harvest volumes in November are the main downside risk.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"mcards\">\n<div class=\"mcard\">\n<div class=\"mcard-lbl\">Stabilising, +0.6%<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-price\">Spain<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-sub\">\u20ac3.16\/kg \u00b7 cheapest tracked origin<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard\">\n<div class=\"mcard-lbl\">Biggest Weekly Fall, -5.8%<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-price\">Italy<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-sub\">\u20ac4.37\/kg \u00b7 W41 \/ ISMEA<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard\">\n<div class=\"mcard-lbl\">No New Print<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-price\">Greece<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-sub\">\u20ac3.66\/kg \u00b7 W41<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard\">\n<div class=\"mcard-lbl\">No Fresh Print<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-price\">Tunisia<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-sub\">\u20ac3.53\/kg \u00b7 W40<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard\">\n<div class=\"mcard-lbl\">Fresh Print, -0.6%<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-price\">Portugal<\/div>\n<div class=\"mcard-sub\">\u20ac3.48\/kg \u00b7 W40<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- RETAIL GAP -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">\ud83d\uded2 Retail Price Gap Tracker<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">A structural 60\u201390 day time-lag separates wholesale corrections from supermarket shelf prices. The data below compares current wholesale \"at source\" vs. verified retail shelf prices in three key import markets \u2014 revealing the margin supermarkets are currently capturing.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"mgap-grid\">\n<div class=\"mgap-card\">\n<div class=\"mgap-hd\">\ud83c\udde9\ud83c\uddea Germany (\u20ac\/L EVOO)<\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-body\">\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Spanish bulk (landed, W42)<\/span><span class=\"mgap-w\">\u2248 \u20ac3.58\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Lidl \/ Aldi private label<\/span><span class=\"mgap-r\">\u20ac7.50\u2013\u20ac8.00\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Rewe \/ Bertolli brand<\/span><span class=\"mgap-r\">\u20ac9.00\u2013\u20ac12.00\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Discounter margin<\/span><span class=\"mgap-pct\">+109\u2013123%<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-card\">\n<div class=\"mgap-hd\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7 United Kingdom (\u00a3\/L EVOO)<\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-body\">\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Spanish bulk (landed, W42)<\/span><span class=\"mgap-w\">\u2248 \u00a33.03\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Lidl Primadonna (500ml)<\/span><span class=\"mgap-r\">\u00a39.98\/L equiv.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Tesco \/ Sainsbury's own<\/span><span class=\"mgap-r\">\u00a310\u2013\u00a314\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Discounter margin<\/span><span class=\"mgap-pct\">+229%<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-card\">\n<div class=\"mgap-hd\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 United States ($\/L EVOO)<\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-body\">\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Spanish bulk (landed, +15% EU deal tariff)<\/span><span class=\"mgap-w\">\u2248 $4.11\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Trader Joe's 1L EVOO<\/span><span class=\"mgap-r\">$11.00\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Premium \/ organic brands<\/span><span class=\"mgap-r\">$18\u2013$34\/L<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-row\"><span class=\"mgap-lbl\">Supermarket margin<\/span><span class=\"mgap-pct\">+168%<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mgap-note\">\ud83d\udca1 <strong>Key insight (Week 42):<\/strong> With Spanish bulk flat at \u20ac3.16\/kg, the bulk-to-shelf gap is unchanged in Germany and the UK and narrowed slightly in the US as the euro firmed to 1.1208. Shelves are only now starting to move: in Greece, regular-price EVOO has slipped to roughly \u20ac9\u2013\u20ac10.50\/L from \u20ac13.50\u2013\u20ac14\/L in 2023\/24, with near-permanent promotions at \u20ac7.30\u2013\u20ac8.90\/L and old-crop branded oil averaging around \u20ac7\/L \u2014 while producers receive \u20ac3.40\u2013\u20ac3.75\/kg. In Spain, the closing campaign saw sales exceed 102% of production, a sign that lower shelf prices are rebuilding volume. The US calculation applies the EU-US deal's flat 15% ceiling, unaffected by the Section 301 regime governing Tunisian, Turkish and Moroccan landed costs.<\/div>\n\n<!-- FX -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83d\udcb1 MOPI FX Impact Calculator<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">All MOPI prices are quoted in EUR. Click a currency to instantly convert all wholesale prices. Rates as of October 15, 2026 (ECB reference).<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; padding: 18px 20px; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.06);\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 8px; flex-wrap: wrap; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: center;\">\n<span style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77;\">Show in:<\/span>\n<button id=\"fxb-EUR\" style=\"padding: 4px 13px; border-radius: 20px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-weight: 600; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid #3d4f22; background: #3d4f22; color: #fff;\" onclick=\"setFXCur('EUR',1,'EUR')\">EUR \u20ac<\/button>\n<button id=\"fxb-USD\" style=\"padding: 4px 13px; border-radius: 20px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-weight: 600; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid #8b9d77; background: transparent; color: #556b2f;\" onclick=\"setFXCur('USD',1.1208,'USD')\">USD $<\/button>\n<button id=\"fxb-GBP\" style=\"padding: 4px 13px; border-radius: 20px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-weight: 600; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid #8b9d77; background: transparent; color: #556b2f;\" onclick=\"setFXCur('GBP',0.84610,'GBP')\">GBP \u00a3<\/button>\n<button id=\"fxb-JPY\" style=\"padding: 4px 13px; border-radius: 20px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-weight: 600; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid #8b9d77; background: transparent; color: #556b2f;\" onclick=\"setFXCur('JPY',177.06,'JPY')\">JPY \u00a5<\/button>\n<button id=\"fxb-AUD\" style=\"padding: 4px 13px; border-radius: 20px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-weight: 600; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid #8b9d77; background: transparent; color: #556b2f;\" onclick=\"setFXCur('AUD',1.6218,'AUD')\">AUD A$<\/button>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"fx-tbl\"><\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #bbb; text-align: right; margin: 5px 0 0; font-style: italic;\">Mid-market rates ECB October 15 2026: EUR\/USD 1.1208 \u00b7 EUR\/GBP 0.84610 \u00b7 EUR\/JPY 177.06 \u00b7 EUR\/AUD 1.6218. Verify with your bank for transactional use.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<script>\nvar FX_ROWS=[{o:\"\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Ja\u00e9n baseline)\",e:3.16},{o:\"\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal (Alentejo)\",e:3.48},{o:\"\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax bulk)\",e:3.53},{o:\"\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania avg)\",e:3.66},{o:\"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari bulk)\",e:4.37},{o:\"\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir)\",e:4.39},{o:\"\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani premium)\",e:5.00},{o:\"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany IGP)\",e:12.00},{o:\"\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria)\",e:14.75}];\nvar fxRate=1,fxSym=\"EUR\",fxCur=\"EUR\";\nfunction setFXCur(cur,rate,sym){fxRate=rate;fxSym=sym;fxCur=cur;[\"EUR\",\"USD\",\"GBP\",\"JPY\",\"AUD\"].forEach(function(c){var b=document.getElementById(\"fxb-\"+c);if(b){b.style.background=c===cur?\"#3d4f22\":\"transparent\";b.style.color=c===cur?\"#fff\":\"#556b2f\";b.style.borderColor=c===cur?\"#3d4f22\":\"#8b9d77\";}});renderFX();}\nfunction renderFX(){var jpy=fxRate>100;var dp=jpy?0:2;var sym=fxSym===\"EUR\"?\"\u20ac\":fxSym===\"GBP\"?\"\u00a3\":fxSym===\"JPY\"?\"\u00a5\":fxSym===\"AUD\"?\"A$\":\"$\";var h='<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12px;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\"><thead><tr style=\"background:#556b2f;\"><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:8px 10px;text-align:left;font-size:11px;\">Origin (EVOO mid)<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:8px 10px;text-align:center;font-size:11px;\">EUR\/kg<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:8px 10px;text-align:center;font-size:11px;\">'+fxCur+'\/kg<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:8px 10px;text-align:center;font-size:11px;\">'+fxCur+' per tonne<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody>';FX_ROWS.forEach(function(r,i){var bg=i%2===0?\"#f4f7f0\":\"#fff\";var conv=(r.e*fxRate).toFixed(dp);var tonne=Math.round(r.e*fxRate*1000).toLocaleString();h+='<tr style=\"background:'+bg+';\"><td style=\"padding:7px 10px;font-weight:600;color:#3d4f22;font-size:12px;\">'+r.o+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:7px 10px;text-align:center;color:#555;\">\u20ac'+r.e.toFixed(2)+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:7px 10px;text-align:center;color:#3d4f22;font-weight:700;\">'+sym+conv+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:7px 10px;text-align:center;color:#555;\">'+sym+tonne+'<\/td><\/tr>';});h+='<\/tbody><\/table>';document.getElementById(\"fx-tbl\").innerHTML=h;}\nrenderFX();\n<\/script>\n\n<!-- WEATHER -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">\u2600\ufe0f Weather &amp; Agronomic Conditions<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Current weather conditions across key producing regions and their impact on the 2026\/27 crop cycle. Impact is assessed relative to the current <strong>phenological stage<\/strong> \u2014 the same weather can be beneficial or harmful depending on what stage the olive tree is at.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 10px; margin-top: 14px;\">\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Andalusia, Spain<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u26c5<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #d4860a;\">17\u201327\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #d4860a;\">Autumn rain forecast<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Oil Accumulation \/ Primer Chorro \u26a0\ufe0f<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #fff8e0; border-left: 3px solid #d4860a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #7a5a0a; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u26a0\ufe0f Rain Timing Now Matters More Than Rain Volume:<\/strong> Spain received 625 L\/m\u00b2 between October 2025 and August 2026, above the 583 L\/m\u00b2 climate average, which restored irrigation allocations and improved rain-fed groves. Early autumn rain would help final ripening, but heavy rain during picking could delay deliveries to mills and affect new-oil quality. The Junta's aforo notes that summer heat limited part of the crop's potential; Ja\u00e9n's expected oil yield is close to 20%. The extraordinary October irrigation window in Ja\u00e9n closed on October 15.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Apulia, Italy<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u26c5<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">15\u201323\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">Occasional showers<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Harvest &amp; Milling Under Way<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #fff8e0; border-left: 3px solid #d4860a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #7a5a0a; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u26a0\ufe0f Off-Year Volumes, Falling Prices:<\/strong> Picking and milling continue across Apulia in a southern off-year, with Coldiretti Puglia's estimates of 20\u201340% declines across the region unchanged. Despite smaller volumes, ISMEA quotes fell again this week \u2014 \u20ac4.00\/kg in Foggia and \u20ac4.20\/kg in Brindisi, Lecce and Taranto (October 8). Quality expectations remain good.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Attica &amp; Central Greece<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u26c8\ufe0f<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">15\u201323\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #c0392b;\">Heavy rain, storms, local hail<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Ripening \/ Harvest Starting<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #fff8e0; border-left: 3px solid #d4860a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #7a5a0a; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u26a0\ufe0f Orange Warning, October 13\u201314:<\/strong> Greece's national weather service issued an orange warning for heavy rain and storms on October 13\u201314, mainly in coastal areas, with possible local hail and very strong north-easterly winds in the northern Aegean. The moisture is welcome for fruit still filling, but hail and wind are a fruit-drop risk for groves close to harvest. Labour availability remains the main harvest constraint.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Peloponnese &amp; Crete<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u26c8\ufe0f<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">16\u201324\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">Storms in the west<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Early Harvest Under Way<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #e8f5e0; border-left: 3px solid #3a8a1a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #2a6a10; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u2705 First Real Rain of the Season:<\/strong> Strong thunderstorms hit the western Peloponnese on October 11, ahead of the October 13\u201314 warning. For Koroneiki groves in Messinia and Laconia, autumn rain supports oil filling before the main harvest. Early-harvest picking continues after the season-opening \u20ac5.95\/kg deal; Greek production is seen at 280,000\u2013330,000 t, with ~300,000 t the central scenario.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Izmir Region, Turkey<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u2600\ufe0f<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">15\u201324\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">Mostly dry<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Table-Olive Harvest; Oil Harvest From Nov 1<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #e8f5e0; border-left: 3px solid #3a8a1a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #2a6a10; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u2705 \"On\" Year, Peak Picking Ahead:<\/strong> Under the Agriculture Ministry's calendar, oil-olive harvesting opens on November 1, while the Aegean's oil-olive harvest intensifies from the second half of October. Sector sources expect a very large \"on\"-year crop, with lower prices for consumers; producers report olive purchase prices below expectations.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Sfax &amp; Sahel, Tunisia<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u2600\ufe0f<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">20\u201328\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">Dry<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Fruit Development<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #fff8e0; border-left: 3px solid #d4860a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #7a5a0a; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u26a0\ufe0f Regional Estimates Confirm a Smaller Crop:<\/strong> Growers now expect a 30\u201340% lower harvest. Sidi Bouzid estimates about 350,000 t of olives (vs ~500,000 t), and Manouba 14,000 t (vs 20,750 t, about -32%). Harvest starts in November; autumn rain will still decide oil yields in the rain-fed groves of the centre and south.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 F\u00e8s-Mekn\u00e8s &amp; Marrakech<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u26c5<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">16\u201326\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">Dry \/ mild<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Ripening \/ Harvest<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #e8f5e0; border-left: 3px solid #3a8a1a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #2a6a10; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u2705 Harvest Progressing, Smaller Crop Seen:<\/strong> Picking continues in F\u00e8s-Mekn\u00e8s and Marrakech-Safi. This week's preliminary industry forecast lists Morocco among the origins expected to produce less in 2026\/27. The 12.5% US duty is now twelve weeks into enforcement \u2014 a fixed cost for US-bound lots.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Istria &amp; Dalmatia, Croatia<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u26c5<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">11\u201319\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">Occasional<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Early Harvest \/ Milling<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #e8f5e0; border-left: 3px solid #3a8a1a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #2a6a10; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u2705 Early-Harvest Milling Season:<\/strong> Istrian estates are picking for high-phenolic early-harvest oils from Istarska bjelica, Bu\u017ea, Leccino and Frantoio. D8 Adriatic Highway freight remains normal nine weeks after the Omi\u0161 wildfire. Boutique pricing (\u20ac13.50\u2013\u20ac16.00\/kg Istria, \u20ac10.00\u2013\u20ac13.00\/kg Dalmatia) is unchanged.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; overflow: hidden; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n<div style=\"background: #3d4f22; padding: 10px 14px; display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff;\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Alentejo &amp; Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-size: 20px;\">\u26c5<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12px 14px;\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; margin-bottom: 10px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Temperature<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">14\u201325\u00b0C<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Rainfall<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\">Mostly dry<\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; margin-bottom: 2px;\">Stage<\/div><div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f;\">Harvest Under Way (Earlier Than Usual)<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #e8f5e0; border-left: 3px solid #3a8a1a; padding: 8px 10px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11.5px; color: #2a6a10; line-height: 1.5;\"><strong>\u2705 More Volume, Good Quality \u2014 Lower Prices:<\/strong> Picking has started around \u00c9vora a little earlier than usual, with producers expecting a larger crop than last year and good-quality oils. INE now projects national output near 175,000 t, helped by new intensive and super-intensive groves in Alentejo. Traditional Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes groves follow from late October.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"background: #f4f7f0; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding: 10px 14px; font-size: 12px; color: #555; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; margin-top: 12px; border-radius: 0 4px 4px 0; line-height: 1.5; font-style: italic;\"><strong>\ud83d\udccc Phenological note (Week of October 12 \u2013 October 16, 2026):<\/strong> Harvest is under way in Italy, Greece, Croatia, Portugal and the early areas of Spain; the main Spanish campaign generalises from late October and November, Turkey's oil-olive harvest opens on November 1 and Tunisia's in November. Greece's first autumn storms brought welcome moisture alongside hail and wind risk. Temperature and rainfall figures in the cards are indicative regional ranges for the week. <strong>The carry-in figure, COAG's 167a arithmetic and Italy's slide are the defining threads of Week 42.<\/strong><\/div>\n\n<!-- COUNTRY COMPARISON TOOL -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2;\">\u2696\ufe0f MOPI Country Comparison Tool<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Compare two origins side-by-side across price, quality, polyphenols, freight and EU market access. Prices updated for Week 42, October 16, 2026.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; padding: 18px 20px; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.06);\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 12px; flex-wrap: wrap; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: flex-end;\">\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 180px;\"><label style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; display: block; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Origin A<\/label>\n<select id=\"cca\" style=\"width: 100%; padding: 8px 10px; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 5px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; color: #333; background: #fff;\">\n<option value=\"es\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Jaen)<\/option>\n<option value=\"gr\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania)<\/option>\n<option value=\"grm\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani Premium)<\/option>\n<option value=\"tn\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax)<\/option>\n<option value=\"it\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari)<\/option>\n<option value=\"itu\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany IGP)<\/option>\n<option value=\"pt\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal (Alentejo)<\/option>\n<option value=\"tr\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir)<\/option>\n<option value=\"ma\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco<\/option>\n<option value=\"hr\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria)<\/option>\n<option value=\"ar\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina (Mendoza)<\/option>\n<option value=\"au\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/option>\n<\/select><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 180px;\"><label style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; display: block; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Origin B<\/label>\n<select id=\"ccb\" style=\"width: 100%; padding: 8px 10px; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 5px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; color: #333; background: #fff;\">\n<option selected value=\"it\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari)<\/option>\n<option value=\"es\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Jaen)<\/option>\n<option value=\"gr\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania)<\/option>\n<option value=\"grm\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani Premium)<\/option>\n<option value=\"tn\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax)<\/option>\n<option value=\"itu\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany IGP)<\/option>\n<option value=\"pt\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal (Alentejo)<\/option>\n<option value=\"tr\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir)<\/option>\n<option value=\"ma\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco<\/option>\n<option value=\"hr\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria)<\/option>\n<option value=\"ar\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina (Mendoza)<\/option>\n<option value=\"au\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/option>\n<\/select><\/div>\n<button onclick=\"doCompare()\" style=\"padding: 9px 22px; background: #3d4f22; color: #fff; border: none; border-radius: 5px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer;\">Compare \u2192<\/button>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"cc-out\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<script>\nvar OD={gr:{n:\"\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania)\",e:3.66,v:2.80,p:\"300-600\",a:\"0.2-0.5%\",f:0.17,y:-47.0,h:\"Oct-Dec\",eu:\"Yes\",t:\"Koroneiki\",note:\"Holds at \u20ac3.66\/kg (W41, no new print). First new-crop deal \u20ac5.95\/kg (Laconia, 55 t). Old-crop EVOO \u20ac3.40\u2013\u20ac3.75\/kg; crop seen at 280,000\u2013330,000 t (central scenario ~300,000 t). Orange weather warning October 13\u201314.\"},grm:{n:\"\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani)\",e:5.00,v:null,p:\"500-1000+\",a:\"0.2%\",f:0.18,y:-27.5,h:\"Nov-Jan\",eu:\"Yes\",t:\"Koroneiki\",note:\"Ultra-premium. Limited supply. Early-harvest picking under way in neighbouring Laconia.\"},es:{n:\"\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Jaen)\",e:3.16,v:3.00,p:\"150-350\",a:\"0.4-0.8%\",f:0.16,y:-22.9,h:\"Oct-Dec\",eu:\"Yes\",t:\"Picual\/Arbequina\",note:\"Stabilises at \u20ac3.16\/kg (W42, +0.6%). Poolred \u20ac3.20\/kg (Oct 3\u20139); Poolred Ja\u00e9n \u20ac3.21\/kg. Carry-in 356,914 t (AICA). COAG estimates a possible 167a withdrawal of ~188,700 t (11.78%). YoY vs Poolred Oct 4\u201310, 2025 (\u20ac4.10\/kg).\"},tn:{n:\"\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax)\",e:3.53,v:2.53,p:\"150-400\",a:\"0.3-0.8%\",f:0.18,y:-45.7,h:\"Nov-Jan\",eu:\"Quota\",t:\"Chemlali\/Chetoui\",note:\"No fresh reading (W40, \u20ac3.53\/kg). Export receipts 4.0bn TND to end-September (+37.4%). Growers expect the 2026\/27 crop 30\u201340% lower. Absent from the Section 301 list \u2014 a settled US tariff advantage over Turkey and Morocco.\"},it:{n:\"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari)\",e:4.37,v:3.20,p:\"200-450\",a:\"0.3-0.7%\",f:0.10,y:-52.8,h:\"Oct-Dec\",eu:\"Yes\",t:\"Coratina\",note:\"Falls -5.8% to \u20ac4.37\/kg (Oleista W41 \/ ISMEA). Bari \u20ac4.30\/kg (Oct 5), Foggia \u20ac4.00\/kg, Brindisi\/Lecce\/Taranto \u20ac4.20\/kg (Oct 8). Italy\u2013Spain gap \u20ac1.21\/kg; Italy\u2013Greece \u20ac0.71\/kg.\"},itu:{n:\"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany IGP)\",e:12.00,v:null,p:\"300-726\",a:\"0.2-0.5%\",f:0.12,y:null,h:\"Oct-Nov\",eu:\"Yes (PDO\/IGP)\",t:\"Moraiolo\/Frantoio\",note:\"IGP Toscano quoted at \u20ac12\/kg in Siena (ISMEA, late August). Pescara EVOO \u20ac12.00\/kg and Riviera Ligure DOP \u20ac13.50\/kg (ISMEA, October). Request CoA before 2026\/27 allocations.\"},pt:{n:\"\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal (Alentejo)\",e:3.48,v:3.34,p:\"150-350\",a:\"0.3-0.7%\",f:0.17,y:-44.8,h:\"Oct-Dec\",eu:\"Yes\",t:\"Galega\/Cobr.\",note:\"Eases to \u20ac3.48\/kg (W40, Sept 28). INE projects ~175,000 t. Farm confederations (AJAP, CAP, CNA, Confagri) warn prices are below production costs for traditional groves.\"},tr:{n:\"\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir)\",e:4.39,v:3.26,p:\"180-350\",a:\"0.3-0.8%\",f:0.18,y:-18.0,h:\"Oct-Dec\",eu:\"No\",t:\"Memecik\/Ayvalik\",note:\"No fresh reading (W13, stale). Olive oil export season opens November 1. Average export price 2025\/26 $5.36\/kg; EU duty-free quota for Turkey only 100 t vs 56,700 t for Tunisia. Exporters say even $3.35\/L does not cover costs.\"},ma:{n:\"\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco\",e:4.20,v:null,p:\"100-280\",a:\"0.4-0.8%\",f:0.19,y:-25.0,h:\"Oct-Jan\",eu:\"No\",t:\"Picholine Marocaine\",note:\"Stable. 12.5% Section 301 duty twelve weeks settled. Harvest under way; preliminary forecasts see a smaller 2026\/27 crop. Non-EU, non-quota diversification play.\"},hr:{n:\"\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria)\",e:14.75,v:null,p:\"280-500\",a:\"0.2-0.4%\",f:0.12,y:0,h:\"Oct-Nov\",eu:\"Yes\",t:\"Leccino\/Buza\",note:\"Boutique premium tier, detached from bulk pricing. Second at the 2026 NYIOOC Northern Hemisphere edition with 128 awards (103 Gold). Istrian early-harvest milling under way.\"},ar:{n:\"\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina (Mendoza)\",e:5.50,v:null,p:\"400-700+\",a:\"0.2-0.5%\",f:0.45,y:null,h:\"Apr-Jun\",eu:\"No\",t:\"Arauco\",note:\"Counter-seasonal. 2026 vintage in its final weeks as Mediterranean new-crop oil arrives; NYIOOC Southern Hemisphere results roll out through November.\"},au:{n:\"\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia\",e:7.50,v:null,p:\"250-500\",a:\"0.2-0.5%\",f:0.55,y:null,h:\"Mar-Jun\",eu:\"No\",t:\"Arbequina\/Frantoio\",note:\"AOA-certified. Mar-Jun harvest complete, fresh vintage in market.\"}};\nfunction da(va,vb,lo){if(va===null||vb===null)return\"color:#555;\";var av=parseFloat(va),bv=parseFloat(vb);return lo?(av<bv?\"color:#2e6b1a;font-weight:700;\":\"color:#555;\"):(av>bv?\"color:#2e6b1a;font-weight:700;\":\"color:#555;\");}\nfunction doCompare(){var a=OD[document.getElementById(\"cca\").value];var b=OD[document.getElementById(\"ccb\").value];\nvar dA=(a.e+a.f+0.06).toFixed(2),dB=(b.e+b.f+0.06).toFixed(2);\nvar rows=[[\"EVOO Price EXW\",\"\u20ac\"+a.e.toFixed(2)+\"\/kg\",\"\u20ac\"+b.e.toFixed(2)+\"\/kg\",\"low\"],[\"VOO Price EXW\",a.v?\"\u20ac\"+a.v.toFixed(2)+\"\/kg\":\"--\",b.v?\"\u20ac\"+b.v.toFixed(2)+\"\/kg\":\"--\",\"low\"],[\"Est. Freight\",\"\u20ac\"+a.f.toFixed(2)+\"\/kg\",\"\u20ac\"+b.f.toFixed(2)+\"\/kg\",\"low\"],[\"Est. Delivered Cost\",\"\u20ac\"+dA+\"\/kg\",\"\u20ac\"+dB+\"\/kg\",\"low\"],[\"Polyphenols (mg\/kg)\",a.p,b.p,\"high\"],[\"Typical Acidity\",a.a,b.a,\"low\"],[\"YoY Change\",a.y!==null?a.y+\"%\":\"N\/A\",b.y!==null?b.y+\"%\":\"N\/A\",\"low\"],[\"Harvest Season\",a.h,b.h,\"none\"],[\"EU Market Access\",a.eu,b.eu,\"none\"],[\"Key Variety\",a.t,b.t,\"none\"]];\nvar h='<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12px;\"><thead><tr style=\"background:#3d4f22;\"><th style=\"color:#c9a84c;padding:8px 10px;text-align:left;font-size:10px;letter-spacing:1px;text-transform:uppercase;\">Metric<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:8px 10px;text-align:center;font-size:12px;\">'+a.n+'<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:8px 10px;text-align:center;font-size:12px;\">'+b.n+'<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody>';\nrows.forEach(function(r,i){var bg=i%2===0?\"#f4f7f0\":\"#fff\";var sa=da(r[1].replace(\/[^\\d.-]\/g,\"\"),r[2].replace(\/[^\\d.-]\/g,\"\"),r[3]===\"low\");var sb=da(r[2].replace(\/[^\\d.-]\/g,\"\"),r[1].replace(\/[^\\d.-]\/g,\"\"),r[3]===\"low\");if(r[3]===\"high\"){sa=da(r[1].replace(\/[^\\d.+]\/g,\"\"),r[2].replace(\/[^\\d.+]\/g,\"\"),\"high\");sb=da(r[2].replace(\/[^\\d.+]\/g,\"\"),r[1].replace(\/[^\\d.+]\/g,\"\"),\"high\");}if(r[3]===\"none\"){sa=\"color:#555;\";sb=\"color:#555;\";}h+='<tr style=\"background:'+bg+';\"><td style=\"padding:7px 10px;color:#666;font-size:11px;\">'+r[0]+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:7px 10px;text-align:center;font-size:12px;'+sa+'\">'+r[1]+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:7px 10px;text-align:center;font-size:12px;'+sb+'\">'+r[2]+'<\/td><\/tr>';});\nh+='<\/tbody><\/table>';\nh+='<div style=\"display:flex;gap:8px;margin-top:10px;flex-wrap:wrap;\">';\nh+='<div style=\"flex:1 1 180px;background:#f4f7f0;border-left:3px solid #556b2f;padding:8px 12px;border-radius:0 4px 4px 0;font-size:11px;color:#555;\">'+a.n+'<br><em>'+a.note+'<\/em><\/div>';\nh+='<div style=\"flex:1 1 180px;background:#f4f7f0;border-left:3px solid #8b9d77;padding:8px 12px;border-radius:0 4px 4px 0;font-size:11px;color:#555;\">'+b.n+'<br><em>'+b.note+'<\/em><\/div>';\nh+='<\/div>';\ndocument.getElementById(\"cc-out\").innerHTML=h;}\n<\/script>\n\n<!-- ANALYSIS BY COUNTRY -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">Analysis by Country<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Spain's national average moves to \u20ac3.16\/kg (Oleista W42, October 15, +0.6% on our last print), with virgin oil at \u20ac3.00\/kg and lampante at \u20ac2.91\/kg; earlier in the week Oleista had printed \u20ac3.26\/kg (October 13), a sign of a market looking for direction rather than falling freely. Poolred's average for October 3\u20139 was \u20ac3.20\/kg for EVOO (-2.6%), \u20ac3.01\/kg for virgin and \u20ac2.93\/kg for lampante, with Ja\u00e9n EVOO at \u20ac3.21\/kg. The key data point of the week was AICA's close of the 2025\/26 campaign: production of 1,305,828 t, September outflows of 123,486 t and final stocks of 356,914 t \u2014 175,745 t at mills, 178,292 t with packers and refiners (145,408 t bulk, 32,884 t packed) and 2,878 t in the Patrimonio Comunal Olivarero. That is 66,374 t more than a year earlier, though sales still exceeded 102% of production. With the carry-in known, farm groups renewed their demand to activate the Article 167a withdrawal; COAG estimates that, with average imports of 218,000 t, around 188,700 t would need to be withdrawn \u2014 11.78% of each mill's output \u2014 and argues that there is no structural surplus but rather a need for balance, with third-country imports weighing in the critical months. The rule can only be triggered if opening stocks plus estimated output reach at least 120% of the average of the previous six campaigns, and any withdrawal is capped at 20%. The order must be approved before October 31, and the Ministry will decide in the first half of November.<\/p>\n\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Agricultural Hub<\/th><th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Ja\u00e9n<\/strong> (Principal Co-op Market Baseline \u00b7 Oleista W42)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.07 \u2013 \u20ac3.26\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Spain<\/strong> (Poolred average, Oct 3\u20139) \u00b7 <strong>Ja\u00e9n<\/strong> (Poolred)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.20\/kg \u00b7 \u20ac3.21\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Andalusia<\/strong> (Junta de Andaluc\u00eda observatory, Sept 8 \u2013 Oct 4)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.57\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Catalonia<\/strong> (Siurana \/ Premium Arbequina)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.75 \u2013 \u20ac4.15\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<strong style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Key Market Dynamics This Week:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"mlist\">\n<li><strong>Carry-In Known, Availability Near 1.96 Mt:<\/strong> 1.6 Mt of new crop plus 357,000 t of stocks \u2014 before imports \u2014 frames every price discussion until November.<\/li>\n<li><strong>References Converge:<\/strong> Oleista (\u20ac3.16\/kg) and Poolred (\u20ac3.20\/kg) are now within \u20ac0.04\/kg, compared with a ~\u20ac0.20\/kg gap last week; the observatory and Ministry series lag and still show \u20ac3.44\u2013\u20ac3.57\/kg.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Next Data Points:<\/strong> Publication of the 2026\/27 marketing order (by October 31), regional aforo revisions and the first AICA monthly data for October.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Oleista's latest Portuguese update puts EVOO at \u20ac3.48\/kg (W40, September 28, -0.6%) and virgin oil at \u20ac3.34\/kg \u2014 still \u20ac0.32\/kg above Spain. The weekly market bulletin for September 28 \u2013 October 4 notes that prices do not allow national producers to cover raw-material and production costs, causing severe liquidity constraints, while oil quality is good in all regions; INE now projects national output of around 175,000 t, helped by new intensive and super-intensive groves in Alentejo. On October 12, the four main farm organisations \u2014 AJAP, CAP, CNA and Confagri \u2014 issued a joint position describing the situation of traditional groves as particularly worrying and calling for stronger origin controls (including oil stored under customs regimes), action against fraud and more transparency on price formation. In Alentejo, the harvest has started a little earlier than usual, with growers expecting more volume and good quality.<\/p>\n\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Region<\/th><th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Alentejo<\/strong> (Super-Intensive \/ Modern Estates)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.32 \u2013 \u20ac3.62\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes<\/strong> (Traditional Mountain Groves)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.57 \u2013 \u20ac3.92\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Centro \/ Ribatejo<\/strong> (Blended Commercial Base)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.42 \u2013 \u20ac3.67\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<strong style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Key Market Dynamics This Week:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"mlist\">\n<li><strong>Origin Control on the Agenda:<\/strong> The farm groups' call for checks on oil held under customs regimes could tighten documentation requirements for blended lots.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Harvest Rolling:<\/strong> Alentejo picking is under way; Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes follows from late October. Expect Portuguese offers to track Spain rather than hold at \u20ac3.48\/kg.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Italy records the week's sharpest fall. ISMEA's national average for EVOO in the second week of October is \u20ac4.37\/kg, down 5.9% on the week and 52.8% on a year earlier, with virgin oil steady at \u20ac3.20\/kg and lampante at \u20ac2.77\/kg; Oleista's W41 reading is identical at \u20ac4.37\/kg (-5.8% on our last print). Market-level quotes show the breadth of the decline: Bari \u20ac4.30\/kg (October 5, -5.5%), Foggia \u20ac4.00\/kg and Brindisi, Lecce and Taranto \u20ac4.20\/kg (October 8), with Terra di Bari DOP at \u20ac4.45\/kg. Premium and island markets remain far higher \u2014 Trapani \u20ac6.70\/kg, Ragusa \u20ac11.50\/kg, Pescara \u20ac12.00\/kg and Riviera Ligure DOP \u20ac13.50\/kg. The pressure comes from cheaper foreign oil (ISMEA's September survey priced Spanish, Greek and Tunisian EVOO at \u20ac3.63\u2013\u20ac3.88\/kg) and from high opening stocks, even as the 2026\/27 crop is an off-year in the South.<\/p>\n\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Region \/ Prestige Category<\/th><th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Apulia<\/strong> (Foggia\/Bari\/Salento \u2013 Bulk Base, ISMEA Oct 5\u20138)<\/td><td>\u20ac4.00 \u2013 \u20ac4.30\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sicily<\/strong> (Trapani \u2013 Ragusa, ISMEA Oct 6)<\/td><td>\u20ac6.70 \u2013 \u20ac11.50\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Abruzzo<\/strong> (Pescara, ISMEA Oct 12)<\/td><td>\u20ac12.00\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Liguria<\/strong> (Riviera Ligure DOP, Imperia, ISMEA Oct 7)<\/td><td>\u20ac13.50\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<strong style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Key Market Dynamics This Week:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"mlist\">\n<li><strong>Gap to Spain Narrows to \u20ac1.21\/kg:<\/strong> The smallest Italy\u2013Spain spread of the campaign makes Italian-origin programmes more competitive for buyers who need the origin claim.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Origin Documentation Still in Focus:<\/strong> CoA and PDO\/IGP verification remain essential procurement checks for Italian-labelled oil.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Oleista has not published a new Greek reading, so Greece holds at \u20ac3.66\/kg (W41), with virgin oil at \u20ac2.80\/kg and lampante at \u20ac2.10\/kg. The \u20ac5.95\/kg season-opener for 55 t of early-harvest Laconian oil remains the only new-crop reference; old-crop EVOO trades at about \u20ac3.40\u2013\u20ac3.75\/kg. Market estimates for the 2026\/27 crop range from 280,000 to 330,000 t, with ~300,000 t the central scenario, and the base case for new-crop producer prices sits around \u20ac3.80\u2013\u20ac4.20\/kg, with a wider \u20ac3.60\u2013\u20ac4.40\/kg range depending on area, quality and acidity. On the shelf, regular-price EVOO has slipped to roughly \u20ac9\u2013\u20ac10.50\/L. Growers continue to describe harvest labour costs as prohibitive relative to oil prices. This week's orange weather warning (October 13\u201314) brought heavy rain, storms and local hail, mainly to coastal areas.<\/p>\n\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Region<\/th><th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Peloponnese<\/strong> (Messenia\/Laconia\/Corinthia)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.57 \u2013 \u20ac3.87\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Crete<\/strong> (Chania\/Heraklion)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.50 \u2013 \u20ac3.77\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Lesbos &amp; Aegean Islands<\/strong><\/td><td>\u20ac3.39 \u2013 \u20ac3.69\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Premium Organic \/ Single Estate<\/strong> (Mani, Arcadia, Boeotia, Chalkidiki, Fthiotida)<\/td><td>\u20ac4.70 \u2013 \u20ac5.30\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>New-Crop Early Harvest<\/strong> (Laconia, first deal, 55 t)<\/td><td>\u20ac5.95\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<strong style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Key Market Dynamics This Week:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"mlist\">\n<li><strong>Expected New-Crop Band \u20ac3.80\u2013\u20ac4.20\/kg:<\/strong> Volume Greek EVOO is expected to open close to the \u20ac4\/kg mark \u2014 well below the early-harvest opener.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Weather Watch:<\/strong> Hail and strong winds during the October 13\u201314 storms are a fruit-drop risk; watch for local damage reports before confirming November shipments.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Oleista shows no new Tunisian EVOO reading, so Tunisia holds at \u20ac3.53\/kg (W40, September 28), with lampante at \u20ac2.53\/kg (October 4). National data released this week underline the strength of the closing campaign: according to the National Statistics Institute (INS), olive oil export receipts reached 4.0 billion dinars by the end of September 2026, up from 2.9 billion a year earlier (+37.4%), on the back of a record ~500,000 t harvest. The outlook for 2026\/27 is very different: a member of the Tunisian olive growers' union expects the harvest to fall by 30\u201340%, with Sidi Bouzid estimating about 350,000 t of olives (against roughly 500,000 t) and Manouba 14,000 t (against more than 20,750 t).<\/p>\n\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Region<\/th><th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Sfax<\/strong> (Principal Export Hub)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.40 \u2013 \u20ac3.66\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sahel<\/strong> (Monastir\/Mahdia)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.35 \u2013 \u20ac3.60\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Kairouan \/ Interior<\/strong> (Bulk Commercial)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.20 \u2013 \u20ac3.45\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<strong style=\"font-size: 14px;\">Key Market Dynamics This Week:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"mlist\">\n<li><strong>Smaller Crop, Firmer Offers Likely:<\/strong> A 30\u201340% drop would cut Tunisia's exportable surplus sharply; expect exporters to hold firmer once the November harvest confirms volumes.<\/li>\n<li><strong>US Tariff Advantage Holds Firm:<\/strong> Twelve weeks into Section 301 enforcement, Tunisia's absence from the 60-economy list remains its clearest structural cost advantage among North African\/Turkish origins.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Turkish EVOO holds at \u20ac4.39\/kg (W13, no update). Exporters' data show a difficult closing campaign: in the first eleven months of 2025\/26, olive oil export value fell to about $105.7 million from $243.9 million a year earlier, even as the average export price rose to $5.36\/kg from $4.96\/kg. The olive oil export season opens on November 1, and sector voices point to the EU's duty-free quota \u2014 just 100 t for Turkey against 56,700 t for Tunisia \u2014 as a structural handicap. A Tari\u015f cooperative manager said this week that even an export price of $3.35 per litre does not cover costs, as milling fees and harvest wages rise. The oil-olive harvest opens officially on November 1, in what is expected to be a very large \"on\" year.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Morocco continues trading at \u20ac4.00\u2013\u20ac4.30\/kg as harvesting progresses in F\u00e8s-Mekn\u00e8s and Marrakech-Safi. This week's preliminary industry forecast lists Morocco, with Tunisia and T\u00fcrkiye, among the origins expected to produce less in 2026\/27. The 12.5% Section 301 duty, twelve weeks into enforcement, remains a settled cost for US-bound lots, and with Spain at \u20ac3.16\/kg Moroccan oil competes on its non-EU, non-quota positioning rather than on price.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Croatia operates entirely in its boutique premium tier, detached from bulk price dynamics. Prices hold at \u20ac13.50\u2013\u20ac16.00\/kg in Istria and \u20ac10.00\u2013\u20ac13.00\/kg in Dalmatia, unchanged on the week. Istrian estates are milling early-harvest, high-phenolic oils from Istarska bjelica, Bu\u017ea, Leccino and Frantoio, and D8 Adriatic Highway freight routing remains normal nine weeks after the Omi\u0161 wildfire. Istria's standing in the Flos Olei guide \u2014 where leading estates score 97\u201399\/100 \u2014 and Croatia's 2026 NYIOOC result (128 awards, 103 Gold) remain its strongest quality signals for autumn marketing.<\/p>\n\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Producing Region<\/th><th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Istria Peninsula<\/strong> (Ultra-Premium \/ High Polyphenol)<\/td><td>\u20ac13.50 \u2013 \u20ac16.00\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Zadar \/ Northern Dalmatia<\/strong> (Boutique Cooperatives)<\/td><td>\u20ac11.00 \u2013 \u20ac13.00\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Southern Dalmatia &amp; Islands<\/strong> (Traditional Hand-Picked)<\/td><td>\u20ac10.00 \u2013 \u20ac12.50\/kg<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n<!-- POLYPHENOL INDEX -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83e\uddec Polyphenol &amp; Quality Profile Index<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Polyphenols are the key health-active antioxidants in EVOO. EU health claim threshold: 250 mg\/kg. Early-harvest milling is now under way in Italy, Greece, Croatia, Portugal and Spain's first \"primer chorro\" areas \u2014 the window in which phenolic content peaks, so CoA sampling should happen at milling. Note that heavy rain during picking can dilute phenolic compounds in the fruit. Click any origin to see full details.<\/p>\n\n<div id=\"poly-cards\" style=\"display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 9px; margin: 12px 0;\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"poly-detail\" style=\"display: none; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; padding: 14px 18px; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.06);\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; justify-content: space-between; align-items: center; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 6px; margin-bottom: 8px;\">\n<div id=\"pdt\" style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22;\"><\/div>\n<div id=\"pdb\" style=\"font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; padding: 2px 9px; border-radius: 10px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #eef0ea; border-radius: 4px; height: 8px; overflow: hidden; margin-bottom: 8px;\">\n<div id=\"pdbr\" style=\"height: 8px; border-radius: 4px; background: linear-gradient(90deg,#8b9d77,#3d4f22); transition: width .4s;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 16px; flex-wrap: wrap; margin-bottom: 8px;\">\n<div><div style=\"font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\">Range (mg\/kg)<\/div><div id=\"pdr\" style=\"font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\">EU Claim<\/div><div id=\"pdeu\" style=\"font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<div><div style=\"font-size: 9px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #aaa; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\">Key Variety<\/div><div id=\"pdv\" style=\"font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; font-family: Arial,sans-serif;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"pdn\" style=\"font-size: 11px; color: #666; font-style: italic; border-top: 1px solid #eee; padding-top: 7px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"background: #f0f7e8; border: 1px solid #c8ddb4; border-radius: 6px; padding: 10px 14px; margin-top: 12px; font-size: 12px; color: #3a5a20;\"><strong>EU Health Claim (Regulation 432\/2012) + 2026 Standards Update:<\/strong> An olive oil may carry the claim \"olive oil polyphenols contribute to the protection of blood lipids from oxidative stress\" if it contains \u2265250 mg\/kg of hydroxytyrosol and its derivatives. Separately, the Commission is targeting end-October 2026 for formal adoption of EU maximum levels for mineral oil aromatic hydrocarbons (MOAH) \u2014 for olive oils other than pomace oil, 4.0 mg\/kg from March 1, 2027, tightening to 2.0 mg\/kg from January 1, 2028 (no maximum level for lampante or crude pomace oil). Member States have agreed to use these levels as the basis for enforcement since May 13, 2026. Always request the Certificate of Analysis (CoA).<\/div>\n\n<script>\nvar PD=[\n{n:\"\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece\",v:\"Koroneiki\",r:\"300-600 mg\/kg\",pct:88,badge:\"Ultra-High\",bb:\"#b8e8b0\",bc:\"#0a3000\",eu:\"YES\",euc:\"#2e6b1a\",note:\"Holds at \u20ac3.66\/kg (W41). First new-crop early-harvest lot (Laconia) sold at \u20ac5.95\/kg. Premium single-estate: 600-1000+ mg\/kg. October 13\u201314 storms brought moisture \u2014 sample early-harvest lots at milling for lot-specific phenolic values.\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina\",v:\"Arauco (Mendoza)\",r:\"400-700+ mg\/kg\",pct:90,badge:\"Ultra-High\",bb:\"#b8e8b0\",bc:\"#0a3000\",eu:\"YES\",euc:\"#2e6b1a\",note:\"Mendoza Arauco among world's highest-polyphenol varieties. April-June 2026 harvest complete; vintage in its final weeks before Mediterranean new-crop arrivals.\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia\",v:\"Istarska bjelica \/ Bu\u017ea \/ Leccino \/ Oblica\",r:\"280-500 mg\/kg\",pct:80,badge:\"Ultra-High\",bb:\"#b8e8b0\",bc:\"#0a3000\",eu:\"YES\",euc:\"#2e6b1a\",note:\"Boutique premium tier detached from bulk pricing. 128 awards (103 Gold) at the 2026 NYIOOC Northern Hemisphere edition. Istrian early-harvest milling under way \u2014 phenolics at their peak.\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia\",v:\"Arbequina\/Frantoio\",r:\"250-500 mg\/kg\",pct:72,badge:\"Very High\",bb:\"#d0f0c8\",bc:\"#1a4a0a\",eu:\"YES\",euc:\"#2e6b1a\",note:\"AOA certification. March-June 2026 harvest complete. Primary Asian market focus (Japan, China, South Korea).\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy\",v:\"Coratina\/Moraiolo\",r:\"200-450 mg\/kg\",pct:68,badge:\"Very High\",bb:\"#d0f0c8\",bc:\"#1a4a0a\",eu:\"YES\",euc:\"#2e6b1a\",note:\"Falls to \u20ac4.37\/kg (ISMEA \/ Oleista W41). Off-year in Apulia but quality expectations good. Early-harvest Coratina routinely exceeds 400 mg\/kg. This week's Gold Spotlight, The Circle (Rome), is IFS Food certified.\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia\",v:\"Chetoui (N. Terraces)\",r:\"200-400 mg\/kg\",pct:62,badge:\"Very High\",bb:\"#d0f0c8\",bc:\"#1a4a0a\",eu:\"VARIES\",euc:\"#d4860a\",note:\"Northern Chetoui: high oleocanthal. Holds at \u20ac3.53\/kg (W40). Sfax bulk Chemlali typically 150-250 mg\/kg. Crop seen 30\u201340% lower for 2026\/27. Always request CoA.\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey\",v:\"Memecik\/Ayvalik\",r:\"180-350 mg\/kg\",pct:53,badge:\"High\",bb:\"#e8f5e0\",bc:\"#2e6b1a\",eu:\"YES*\",euc:\"#d4860a\",note:\"*Upper range only. Section 301's 12.5% duty fully binding. Oil-olive harvest opens November 1 in a large 'on' year. EZZ\u0130B has flagged the EU's MOSH\/MOAH rules as an export risk.\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain\",v:\"Picual\/Arbequina\",r:\"150-350 mg\/kg\",pct:48,badge:\"High\",bb:\"#e8f5e0\",bc:\"#2e6b1a\",eu:\"VARIES\",euc:\"#d4860a\",note:\"Picual higher than Arbequina. \u20ac3.16\/kg (W42), cheapest tracked origin. First 'primer chorro' early oils arriving from mid-October. Request CoA.\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal\",v:\"Galega\/Cobr.\",r:\"150-350 mg\/kg\",pct:46,badge:\"High\",bb:\"#e8f5e0\",bc:\"#2e6b1a\",eu:\"VARIES\",euc:\"#d4860a\",note:\"Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes traditional varieties can exceed 400 mg\/kg. Alentejo commercial lots typically lower; quality reported good across regions. \u20ac3.48\/kg (W40).\"},\n{n:\"\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco\",v:\"Picholine Marocaine\",r:\"100-280 mg\/kg\",pct:32,badge:\"Medium\",bb:\"#fff8e0\",bc:\"#7a5a0a\",eu:\"BORDERLINE\",euc:\"#c0392b\",note:\"Traditional Maasra-pressed oils can reach 300+ mg\/kg. Industrial bulk typically lower. Section 301's 12.5% duty twelve weeks settled. Non-EU diversification play.\"}\n];\nvar cards=document.getElementById(\"poly-cards\");\nPD.forEach(function(p,i){var c=document.createElement(\"div\");c.style.cssText=\"flex:1 1 120px;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde8cc;border-radius:8px;padding:10px 9px;cursor:pointer;transition:all .18s;box-shadow:0 1px 3px rgba(0,0,0,.04);\";c.onmouseover=function(){this.style.borderColor=\"#556b2f\";this.style.boxShadow=\"0 3px 10px rgba(0,0,0,.1)\";this.style.transform=\"translateY(-2px)\";};c.onmouseout=function(){this.style.borderColor=\"#dde8cc\";this.style.boxShadow=\"0 1px 3px rgba(0,0,0,.04)\";this.style.transform=\"none\";};c.onclick=function(){showPD(p);};c.innerHTML='<div style=\"font-size:18px;margin-bottom:3px;\">'+p.n.split(\" \")[0]+'<\/div><div style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:9px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#8b9d77;margin-bottom:5px;\">'+p.n.split(\" \").slice(1).join(\" \")+'<\/div><div style=\"background:#eef0ea;border-radius:3px;height:5px;overflow:hidden;margin-bottom:4px;\"><div style=\"height:5px;border-radius:3px;background:linear-gradient(90deg,#8b9d77,#3d4f22);width:'+p.pct+'%;\"><\/div><\/div><div style=\"font-size:9px;color:#aaa;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;\">'+p.r+'<\/div><div style=\"font-size:9px;font-weight:700;padding:2px 6px;border-radius:8px;display:inline-block;margin-top:4px;background:'+p.bb+';color:'+p.bc+';\">'+p.badge+'<\/div>';cards.appendChild(c);});\nfunction showPD(p){document.getElementById(\"pdt\").textContent=p.n+\" - \"+p.v;document.getElementById(\"pdb\").style.background=p.bb;document.getElementById(\"pdb\").style.color=p.bc;document.getElementById(\"pdb\").textContent=p.badge;document.getElementById(\"pdbr\").style.width=p.pct+\"%\";document.getElementById(\"pdr\").textContent=p.r;document.getElementById(\"pdeu\").textContent=p.eu;document.getElementById(\"pdeu\").style.color=p.euc;document.getElementById(\"pdv\").textContent=p.v;document.getElementById(\"pdn\").textContent=p.note;document.getElementById(\"poly-detail\").style.display=\"block\";}\n<\/script>\n\n<!-- GLOBAL PRODUCERS -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">\ud83c\udf0d Global Producers \u2014 Beyond the Mediterranean<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 14px; line-height: 1.6;\">While the Mediterranean basin remains the centre of global olive oil production, Southern Hemisphere and Middle East origins continue to gain market share. The following overview tracks key non-Mediterranean origins monitored by the MOPI for the week of October 16, 2026.<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 28px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">Middle East &amp; North Africa<\/div>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; margin: 20px 0 6px;\">\ud83c\uddf1\ud83c\udde7 Lebanon<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.6;\">Oleista's W42 update (October 13) leaves Lebanon unchanged: EVOO at \u20ac6.12\/kg, virgin at \u20ac4.79\/kg and lampante at \u20ac2.40\/kg. With Spain at \u20ac3.16\/kg, the Lebanese premium stands at \u20ac2.96\/kg \u2014 almost double the Spanish price \u2014 confirming its role as a specialty origin serving diaspora and Middle Eastern markets rather than a bulk competitor. The new harvest is now entering its main phase.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; margin: 20px 0 6px;\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf8 Palestinian Territories<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.6;\">The West Bank harvest continues into November and remains a key source of income for around 90,000 families. After a 2025 season that the UN described as one of the most difficult on record, access to groves remains the main risk for this campaign. Buyers of Palestinian fair-trade oil should keep shipment windows for 2026\/27 lots flexible.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; margin: 20px 0 6px;\">\ud83c\udde9\ud83c\uddff Algeria<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.6;\">Algeria's harvest season is opening, with its exportable surplus still constrained by export infrastructure and certification. French buyers continue to take the bulk of certified volumes. Algeria remains among the 60 economies subject to Section 301 forced-labor tariffs, now twelve weeks into full enforcement \u2014 a minor consideration for its small US-bound volume.<\/p>\n\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; margin: 10px 0 16px; font-size: 13px; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07); border-radius: 6px; overflow: hidden;\">\n<thead><tr>\n<th style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; text-align: left; padding: 10px 13px; font-weight: 600; font-size: 12px;\">Region \/ Grade<\/th>\n<th style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; text-align: left; padding: 10px 13px; font-weight: 600; font-size: 12px;\">Wholesale Price Range<\/th>\n<th style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; text-align: left; padding: 10px 13px; font-weight: 600; font-size: 12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr><\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Kabylie Region<\/strong> (Traditional)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac5.50 \u2013 \u20ac7.00\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Premium mountain-grown. Export documentation gradually maturing.<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #f8faf4;\"><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px;\"><strong>Industrial \/ Bulk<\/strong> (National)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px;\">\u20ac4.20 \u2013 \u20ac5.50\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px;\">Large exportable surplus theoretically available; export infrastructure remains the binding constraint.<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; margin: 20px 0 6px;\">\ud83c\uddf8\ud83c\uddfe Syria<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.6;\">Syria is the standout in this week's preliminary industry forecast: output is projected to rise from about 66,000 t to 191,000 t in 2026\/27, nearly tripling as the October harvest gets under way. Northwest Syrian EVOO (Idlib\/Aleppo) continues trading at approximately $4.80\u2013$5.30\/kg. Logistics and certification infrastructure remain under reconstruction, and enhanced chain-of-custody due diligence remains essential for any commercial engagement \u2014 but a crop of this size would make Syria a meaningful exporter again.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 32px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">New World Producers<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; margin: 20px 0 6px;\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.6;\">Argentina's April\u2013June 2026 vintage is in its final weeks as the freshest oil on the market before Mediterranean new-crop arrivals, and NYIOOC Southern Hemisphere results continue to roll out through November. Mendoza Arauco lots (700+ mg\/kg polyphenols) remain the global ultra-premium benchmark at $7.00\u2013$11.00\/kg. With Spanish bulk near \u20ac3.16\/kg and a global surplus forecast for 2026\/27, Argentine bulk exporters face a tough price comparison in the US for Q4.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; margin: 20px 0 6px;\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.6;\">Australia's March\u2013June 2026 harvest is concluded, with AOA-certified lots from South Australia and Victoria in the fresh-oil marketing window. Exports remain focused on Japan, China and South Korea. The euro firmed to A$1.6218 (ECB, October 15, from A$1.6110), making European oil about 0.7% more expensive for Australian importers on FX alone.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 15px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; margin: 20px 0 6px;\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 United States (California)<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 14px; color: #555; margin: 0 0 10px; line-height: 1.6;\">EU olive oil continues to pay the EU-US deal's flat 15% all-inclusive tariff, insulated from the Section 301 regime. For non-EU competitors, the split is settled: Tunisia's absence from the 60-economy list keeps its US duty materially lower, while Turkey and Morocco pay 12.5%. The euro edged up to $1.1208 (from $1.1186), so the dollar cost of Spanish EVOO is up ~0.8% on the week including Spain's small price rise \u2014 a pause after last week's ~7% drop. California producers have 2025\/26 lots on the market at $8.00\u2013$15.00\/kg COOC-certified, with the new harvest under way.<\/p>\n\n<!-- GLOBAL PRODUCTION TABLE -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 17px; font-weight: bold; color: #556b2f; border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77; padding-left: 12px; margin: 32px 0 9px; line-height: 1.2;\">Global Production Context \u2014 MOPI Reference Table<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 13px; color: #666; margin: 0 0 12px; font-style: italic;\">IOC's first formal 2026\/27 production estimates (June 2026 Council meeting), with this week's official and sector updates noted. Global production 2025\/26: ~3.44 million tonnes; global consumption forecast 3.248 million tonnes (IOC). New this week: preliminary industry forecasts circulated by the World Olive Oil Exhibition put 2026\/27 world output at 3.50\u20133.65 Mt against consumption of ~3.25 Mt \u2014 a surplus year \u2014 with Spain at ~1.60 Mt (~46% of the total). USDA (August) forecasts ~3.25 Mt.<\/p>\n\n<table style=\"width: 100%; border-collapse: collapse; margin: 10px 0 20px; font-size: 13px; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07); border-radius: 6px; overflow: hidden;\">\n<thead><tr>\n<th style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; text-align: left; padding: 10px 13px; font-weight: 600; font-size: 12px;\">Country<\/th>\n<th style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; text-align: left; padding: 10px 13px; font-weight: 600; font-size: 12px;\">IOC 2026\/27 Estimate<\/th>\n<th style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; text-align: left; padding: 10px 13px; font-weight: 600; font-size: 12px;\">EVOO Price Tier (October 2026)<\/th>\n<th style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; text-align: left; padding: 10px 13px; font-weight: 600; font-size: 12px;\">Harvest Season<\/th>\n<\/tr><\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">1,602,596 t (MAPA aforo, +23%) + 356,914 t carry-in (AICA)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac3.07\u2013\u20ac3.26\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Dec<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #f8faf4;\"><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~345,000 t (growers now expect -30\u201340% YoY)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac3.40\u2013\u20ac3.66\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Nov \u2013 Jan<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~315,000 t (industry forecast up to ~325k t)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac4.00\u2013\u20ac13.50\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Sep \u2013 Dec (under way)<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #f8faf4;\"><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~240,000 t (sector &amp; industry now ~300k t)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac3.56\u2013\u20ac5.95\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Dec (under way)<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~245,000 t (industry forecast: lower)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac4.00\u2013\u20ac4.30\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Jan<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #f8faf4;\"><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~178,000 t (\"on\" year; oil harvest from Nov 1)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac4.20\u2013\u20ac4.75\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Nov \u2013 Feb<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~172,000 t (INE now ~175k t)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac3.32\u2013\u20ac3.92\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Dec (under way)<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background: #f8faf4;\"><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 USA (California)<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">n\/a (import-heavy market)<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$8.00\u2013$15.00\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Jan<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px;\"><strong>\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/strong><\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px;\">~20,000\u201321,000 t<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px;\">AUD 7\u201318\/kg<\/td><td style=\"padding: 9px 13px;\">Mar \u2013 Jun (harvest complete)<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-size: 12px; color: #999; font-style: italic; margin: 0 0 20px;\">Southern Hemisphere origins are counter-seasonal to the Mediterranean; their 2026 harvests concluded in Q2. IOC 2026\/27 estimates were set in June. Since then, Spain's Ministry of Agriculture has published a national aforo of 1,602,596 t (October 1) and AICA has confirmed 356,914 t of carry-in stocks (September 30). Greek sector estimates point to 280,000\u2013330,000 t, Tunisian growers expect a 30\u201340% decline, INE projects ~175,000 t for Portugal, and preliminary industry figures put Syria at ~191,000 t. US tariff figures for EU origins reflect the EU-US deal's flat 15% all-inclusive ceiling, unaffected by the Section 301 regime.<\/p>\n\n<!-- DELIVERED COST CALCULATOR -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2;\">\ud83e\uddee MOPI Delivered Cost Calculator<\/div>\n<p class=\"mp\">Calculate the full landed cost of bulk EVOO from any Mediterranean origin to your destination. Prices updated for Week 42, October 16, 2026. Note: the US tariff split is now twelve weeks settled \u2014 EU-origin oil stays on the EU-US trade deal's flat 15% all-inclusive ceiling (effective since July 1, 2026), while Tunisia settles at a lower MFN-based rate and Turkey\/Morocco settle at the confirmed 12.5% Section 301 rate.<\/p>\n\n<div style=\"background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; padding: 18px 20px; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.06);\">\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 12px; margin-bottom: 14px;\">\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 160px;\"><label style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; display: block; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Origin<\/label>\n<select id=\"clc-o\" style=\"width: 100%; padding: 8px 10px; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 5px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; color: #333; background: #fff;\">\n<option selected value=\"3.16\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Ja\u00e9n) - EUR3.16\/kg \u2194 +0.6% Stabilising<\/option>\n<option value=\"3.48\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal - EUR3.48\/kg \u2194 -0.6%<\/option>\n<option value=\"3.53\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax) - EUR3.53\/kg \u2194 No Fresh Print<\/option>\n<option value=\"3.66\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania) - EUR3.66\/kg \u2194 No New Print<\/option>\n<option value=\"5.00\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani) - EUR5.00\/kg<\/option>\n<option value=\"4.39\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir) - EUR4.39\/kg<\/option>\n<option value=\"4.20\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco - EUR4.20\/kg<\/option>\n<option value=\"4.37\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari) - EUR4.37\/kg \u2193 -5.8%<\/option>\n<option value=\"12.00\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany IGP) - EUR12.00\/kg<\/option>\n<option value=\"14.75\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria) - EUR14.75\/kg<\/option>\n<\/select><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 110px;\"><label style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; display: block; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Quantity (tonnes)<\/label>\n<input id=\"clc-q\" style=\"width: 100%; padding: 8px 10px; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 5px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; color: #333; box-sizing: border-box;\" max=\"10000\" min=\"1\" type=\"number\" value=\"20\" \/><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 150px;\"><label style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; display: block; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Destination<\/label>\n<select id=\"clc-d\" style=\"width: 100%; padding: 8px 10px; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 5px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; color: #333; background: #fff;\">\n<option value=\"0,1,EUR\">Within EU (no duty)<\/option>\n<option value=\"0.18,0.84610,GBP\">UK (GBP)<\/option>\n<option value=\"0.22,1.1208,USD\">USA \u2014 EU origin (USD, +15% EU-US deal ceiling)<\/option>\n<option value=\"0.25,1.6218,AUD\">Australia (AUD)<\/option>\n<option value=\"0.20,177.06,JPY\">Japan (JPY)<\/option>\n<option value=\"0.20,1.1208,USD\">USA \u2014 Tunisia origin (USD, Section 301 exemption absent, MFN reversion settled)<\/option>\n<option value=\"0.225,1.1208,USD\">USA \u2014 Turkey\/Morocco origin (USD, confirmed 12.5% Section 301)<\/option>\n<\/select><\/div>\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 150px;\"><label style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; display: block; margin-bottom: 4px;\">Customs<\/label>\n<select id=\"clc-c\" style=\"width: 100%; padding: 8px 10px; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 5px; font-size: 12px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; color: #333; background: #fff;\">\n<option value=\"0\">EU \/ Duty-Free<\/option>\n<option value=\"1.245\">Standard EU Tariff (EUR1.245\/kg)<\/option>\n<option value=\"0\">Tunisia Duty-Free Quota<\/option>\n<\/select><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; align-items: flex-end;\"><button onclick=\"runCalc()\" style=\"padding: 9px 22px; background: #3d4f22; color: #fff; border: none; border-radius: 5px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; cursor: pointer;\">Calculate \u2192<\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"clc-out\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<script>\nfunction runCalc(){var ewx=parseFloat(document.getElementById(\"clc-o\").value);var qty=parseFloat(document.getElementById(\"clc-q\").value)||20;var dp=document.getElementById(\"clc-d\").value.split(\",\");var duty=parseFloat(document.getElementById(\"clc-c\").value);var fr=parseFloat(dp[0]);var rate=parseFloat(dp[1]);var cur=dp[2];var ins=0.015;var port=0.045;var us_tariff=0;var tariffLabel=\"\";if(cur===\"USD\"&&dp[0]===\"0.22\"){us_tariff=ewx*0.15;tariffLabel=\"US 15% tariff (EU-US deal, permanent)\";}else if(cur===\"USD\"&&dp[0]===\"0.20\"){us_tariff=0;tariffLabel=\"US tariff: Section 301 grace period over \u2014 MFN reversion settled\";}else if(cur===\"USD\"&&dp[0]===\"0.225\"){us_tariff=ewx*0.125;tariffLabel=\"US 12.5% tariff (confirmed Section 301)\";}var total=ewx+fr+ins+port+duty+us_tariff;var jpy=rate>100;var s=jpy?\"\u00a5\":cur===\"EUR\"?\"\u20ac\":cur===\"GBP\"?\"\u00a3\":cur===\"AUD\"?\"A$\":\"$\";function f(v){return s+(v*rate).toFixed(jpy?0:2);}function ft(v){var t=v*rate*qty*1000;return s+(jpy?Math.round(t).toLocaleString():t.toFixed(0).replace(\/\\B(?=(\\d{3})+(?!\\d))\/g,\",\"));}var items=[[\"EXW Price at origin\",ewx],[\"Freight (cross-Mediterranean)\",fr],[\"Insurance\",ins],[\"Port handling (origin+dest)\",port],[\"Customs duty\",duty]];if(tariffLabel)items.push([tariffLabel,us_tariff]);var h='<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12px;\"><thead><tr style=\"background:#556b2f;\"><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:7px 9px;text-align:left;font-size:11px;\">Component<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:7px 9px;text-align:right;font-size:11px;\">EUR\/kg<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:7px 9px;text-align:right;font-size:11px;\">'+cur+'\/kg<\/th><th style=\"color:#fff;padding:7px 9px;text-align:right;font-size:11px;\">Total ('+qty+'t)<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody>';items.forEach(function(r,i){if(r[1]===0)return;var bg=i%2===0?\"#f4f7f0\":\"#fff\";h+='<tr style=\"background:'+bg+';\"><td style=\"padding:6px 9px;color:#555;font-size:11px;\">'+r[0]+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:6px 9px;text-align:right;color:#555;font-size:11px;\">\u20ac'+r[1].toFixed(3)+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:6px 9px;text-align:right;color:#3d4f22;font-weight:600;font-size:11px;\">'+f(r[1])+'<\/td><td style=\"padding:6px 9px;text-align:right;color:#555;font-size:11px;\">'+ft(r[1])+'<\/td><\/tr>';});h+='<\/tbody><\/table>';h+='<div style=\"background:linear-gradient(135deg,#3d4f22,#4a6030);border-radius:5px;padding:12px 16px;margin-top:10px;display:flex;justify-content:space-between;align-items:center;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:8px;\"><span style=\"color:rgba(255,255,255,0.7);font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:12px;\">TOTAL DELIVERED COST<\/span><span style=\"font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:20px;font-weight:700;color:#fff;\">'+f(total)+'\/kg &nbsp; ('+ft(total)+' total)<\/span><\/div>';h+='<p style=\"font-size:10px;color:#bbb;font-style:italic;margin:6px 0 0;\">Estimates based on MOPI October 16, 2026 data. Rate: 1 EUR = '+rate+' '+cur+'. Verify freight and duty with your forwarder.<\/p>';document.getElementById(\"clc-out\").innerHTML=h;}\n<\/script>\n\n<!-- STRATEGIC INSIGHTS -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">Strategic Market Insights &amp; Logistics<\/div>\n<div class=\"mbox\"><strong>\ud83d\udcca The Balance Sheet Is Now Complete:<\/strong> 1.6 Mt of new crop plus 356,914 t of carry-in \u2014 66,374 t more than last year \u2014 gives Spain close to 1.96 Mt before imports. Spanish prices have stopped falling for now (Oleista \u20ac3.16\/kg, Poolred \u20ac3.20\/kg), but ample supply caps any rebound until the policy decision.<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"mbox\"><strong>\u2696\ufe0f 167a Has a Number: ~188,700 t:<\/strong> COAG's estimate (11.78% of each mill's output) gives buyers a scenario to model. A withdrawal of that size would tighten the second half of the campaign; no activation would leave the market well supplied. Build review clauses into Q1 2027 contracts.<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"mbox\"><strong>\ud83c\udf0d A Global Surplus Year:<\/strong> Preliminary industry forecasts of 3.50\u20133.65 Mt of output against ~3.25 Mt of demand point to stock-building in 2026\/27. Lower crops in Tunisia, T\u00fcrkiye and Morocco are offset by Spain, Italy, Greece, Portugal and a sharp Syrian recovery.<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"mbox\"><strong>\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy Converges Toward the Pack:<\/strong> At \u20ac4.37\/kg nationally and \u20ac4.00\/kg in Foggia, Italian bulk is down 52.8% on the year and only \u20ac1.21\/kg above Spain. Expect continued pressure until old-crop stocks clear.<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"mbox\"><strong>\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia's Next Crop Is the Tightest Spot:<\/strong> After a record year (export receipts +37.4% to 4.0bn TND), growers expect a 30\u201340% smaller harvest. Tunisian offers for Q1 2027 are the most likely to firm among bulk origins.<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"mbox\"><strong>\ud83d\udcb1 Euro Steadies at $1.12:<\/strong> EUR\/USD edged up to 1.1208 (ECB, October 15) from 1.1186; EUR\/AUD rose to 1.6218. US buyers lose ~0.2% on FX this week after last week's gain; Australian importers pay ~0.7% more.<\/div>\n\n<p style=\"font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; margin: 24px 0 10px; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px;\">Historical Price Context (Mid-October 2026 vs. Mid-October 2025)<\/p>\n\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Market Benchmark (EVOO Bulk)<\/th><th>Current Price (October 2026)<\/th><th>Historical Price (October 2025)<\/th><th>Year-over-Year Change<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Spain<\/strong> (Ja\u00e9n Baseline)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.16\/kg<\/td><td>\u20ac4.10\/kg (Poolred, Oct 4\u201310, 2025)<\/td><td class=\"td\">\u2193 \u221222.9%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Italy<\/strong> (National, ISMEA)<\/td><td>\u20ac4.37\/kg<\/td><td>~\u20ac9.26\/kg (implied by ISMEA YoY)<\/td><td class=\"td\">\u2193 \u221252.8%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Greece<\/strong> (Chania Average)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.66\/kg<\/td><td>\u20ac6.90\/kg*<\/td><td class=\"td\">\u2193 \u221247.0%*<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Tunisia<\/strong> (Sfax Export)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.53\/kg<\/td><td>\u20ac6.50\/kg*<\/td><td class=\"td\">\u2193 \u221245.7%*<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Portugal<\/strong> (Alentejo)<\/td><td>\u20ac3.48\/kg<\/td><td>\u20ac6.30\/kg*<\/td><td class=\"td\">\u2193 \u221244.8%*<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Global Benchmark<\/strong> (IMF\/FRED, latest available)<\/td><td>~$6,050\/tonne<\/td><td>~$9,200\/tonne<\/td><td class=\"td\">\u2193 \u221234.2%<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-size: 11px; color: #999; font-style: italic; margin: -8px 0 0;\">Spain's October 2025 reference is Poolred's EVOO average for October 4\u201310, 2025 (\u20ac4.10\/kg, via COAG Ja\u00e9n). Italy's year-on-year change is ISMEA's published variation for the second week of October 2026 (\u221252.8%); the October 2025 level is implied from it. *Figures marked with an asterisk are carried from the MOPI series and are under review against verified same-period sources; treat as indicative.<\/p>\n\n<hr class=\"mdiv\" \/>\n\n<!-- RISK MATRIX -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">Q4 2026 Risk Assessment Matrix<\/div>\n<table class=\"mt\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Risk Factor<\/th><th>Impact Level<\/th><th>Mitigation Strategy<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Spain Policy Risk (Article 167a)<\/strong> \u2014 carry-in confirmed at 356,914 t; COAG estimates ~188,700 t (11.78%) withdrawal; order due by October 31, decision first half of November<\/td>\n<td class=\"rh\">High<\/td>\n<td>Include price-review clauses in Q1 2027 contracts. Model both scenarios (no withdrawal vs ~12% withdrawal) before committing forward volume.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Spain Crop-Estimate Revisions<\/strong> \u2014 1.6 Mt national aforo can still be adjusted; rain timing at harvest now the key variable<\/td>\n<td class=\"rm\">Medium<\/td>\n<td>Monitor AEMET forecasts and regional revisions. Favour suppliers with flexible delivery windows in case rain delays mill intake.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Spain Spot-Price Direction<\/strong> \u2014 W42 stabilises at \u20ac3.16\/kg (+0.6%) after a -6.3% week<\/td>\n<td class=\"rl\">Low<\/td>\n<td>Supply is ample; complete remaining Q4 tranches before November.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Data Quality<\/strong> \u2014 Oleista Spain swung from \u20ac3.26\/kg (Oct 13) to \u20ac3.16\/kg (Oct 15); Tunisia, Greece and Turkey prints stale<\/td>\n<td class=\"rm\">Medium<\/td>\n<td>Cross-check single prints against Poolred, Infaoliva and Junta de Andaluc\u00eda before re-pricing contracts.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Italy Price Pressure<\/strong> \u2014 \u20ac4.37\/kg (-5.8% w\/w, -52.8% YoY); Foggia \u20ac4.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td class=\"rm\">Medium<\/td>\n<td>Use the narrow Italy\u2013Spain gap to lock Italian-origin needs; verify origin documentation for Italian-labelled oil.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Greece Weather &amp; Harvest Labour<\/strong> \u2014 orange warning Oct 13\u201314 with local hail; labour shortages at harvest<\/td>\n<td class=\"rm\">Medium<\/td>\n<td>Separate early-harvest premium lots from volume contracts. Confirm picking and milling schedules before committing to November shipment dates.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tunisia Off-Year Risk<\/strong> \u2014 growers expect -30\u201340%; Sidi Bouzid ~350,000 t of olives vs ~500,000 t<\/td>\n<td class=\"rh\">High<\/td>\n<td>Keep a spot allocation for Q1 2027 Tunisian volume; expect firmer offers once harvest volumes are confirmed.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>EU MOAH Limits<\/strong> \u2014 formal adoption targeted end-October; 4.0 mg\/kg for olive oils from March 1, 2027, 2.0 mg\/kg from January 1, 2028; already used for enforcement<\/td>\n<td class=\"rm\">Medium<\/td>\n<td>Add MOSH\/MOAH testing to supplier specifications for 2026\/27 lots, especially from origins with less mature testing infrastructure.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>US Tariff Transition \u2014 Settled<\/strong> \u2014 Section 301 twelve weeks in force; Turkey's oil export season opens November 1<\/td>\n<td class=\"rm\">Medium<\/td>\n<td>Source on confirmed rates; a USTR reversal is not the base case but would re-price the Turkey lane quickly in a large \"on\" year.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tunisia Quota Exhaustion<\/strong> \u2014 9th consecutive year fully allocated; IPR route required for EU-destined volumes<\/td>\n<td class=\"rh\">High<\/td>\n<td>Confirm IPR contractor relationships for Q4 2026\u2013Q1 2027 volumes now, independent of Tunisia's settled US tariff advantage.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Croatia Wildfire Recovery \u2014 Normalised<\/strong> \u2014 D8 routing normal, nine weeks on from Omi\u0161<\/td>\n<td class=\"rl\">Low<\/td>\n<td>Standard forwarder routing contingencies are sufficient.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>EUR\/USD Movement<\/strong> \u2014 euro steadies at 1.1208 after last week's slide<\/td>\n<td class=\"rm\">Medium<\/td>\n<td>US-bound buyers who did not lock last week's lows can hedge part of Q4 USD exposure at current levels.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n<div class=\"mbox-gold\">\n<strong style=\"color: #7a5a0a; font-size: 14px;\">How to Interpret This Week's Pause<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"mlist\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;\">\n<li><strong>Spain Has Found a Temporary Floor:<\/strong> Oleista and Poolred converge at \u20ac3.16\u2013\u20ac3.20\/kg after last week's sharp fall.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Carry-In Sets Up the Policy Decision:<\/strong> 356,914 t of stocks and COAG's ~188,700 t withdrawal estimate turn the 167a debate into numbers.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Italy Is Now the Weakest Market:<\/strong> A 5.8% weekly drop and -52.8% YoY bring Italian bulk close to the rest of the Mediterranean.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Supply Is Ample Globally, Tight in Tunisia:<\/strong> A world surplus coexists with a 30\u201340% smaller Tunisian crop.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Currency Is Neutral This Week:<\/strong> The euro's move to $1.1208 barely changes landed costs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- METHODOLOGY -->\n<div class=\"mmethod\">\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 20px!important; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px; margin-top: 0!important;\">Methodology &amp; Data Sources<\/div>\nThe Mediterrolio Index (MOPI) weekly price data is aggregated from a proprietary network of sources, including:\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Official Benchmarks:<\/strong> <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.internationaloliveoil.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">International Olive Council (IOC)<\/a> and <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/agriculture.ec.europa.eu\/data-and-analysis\/markets\/overviews\/market-observatories\/olive-oil_en\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">EU DG AGRI dashboards<\/a> (weekly price developments, October 12, 2026); Spanish Ministry of Agriculture (MAPA) national aforo 2026\/27 (October 1, 2026) and market bulletin; AICA provisional market data for September 2026 (2025\/26 campaign close); Junta de Andaluc\u00eda price observatory; ISMEA Mercati (weekly national and market-level prices, October 2026); INE Portugal; INS and ONAGRI (Tunisia).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market Indices:<\/strong> <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/oleista.com\/en\/prices\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Oleista.com<\/a> (last update October 15, 2026 \u2014 Spain W42; Italy W41; Greece W41; Tunisia W40; Portugal W40; Lebanon W42) \u00b7 IOC producer price bulletins \u00b7 <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.poolred.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">POOLred\/Mercacei<\/a> (Oct 3\u20139, 2026; Oct 4\u201310, 2025 reference) \u00b7 Infaoliva \u00b7 Vesper \u00b7 Certified Origins \u00b7 <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.oliveoiltimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Olive Oil Times<\/a> \u00b7 <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/wikifarmer.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Wikifarmer<\/a> \u00b7 agrotypos.gr \u00b7 World Olive Oil Exhibition preliminary 2026\/27 forecasts \u00b7 <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/POLVOILUSDM\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">IMF\/FRED Global Olive Oil Price<\/a> (~$6,050\/tonne, latest available).<\/li>\n<li><strong>On-the-Ground Intelligence:<\/strong> Direct reports from regional agricultural cooperatives in Greece, Spain, and Tunisia; Spanish farm organisations (ASAJA, COAG, UPA) and Cooperativas Agro-alimentarias de Espa\u00f1a; Portuguese farm organisations (AJAP, CAP, CNA, Confagri); Agios Apostoloi Agricultural Cooperative (Laconia); Coldiretti Puglia (Italy); Tunisian olive growers' union; Turkish exporters' associations and Tari\u015f cooperatives.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Freight Logistics:<\/strong> Aggregated bulk tanker rate trends across key Mediterranean transit corridors.<\/li>\n<li><strong>FX Rates:<\/strong> <a style=\"color: #556b2f;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/stats\/policy_and_exchange_rates\/euro_reference_exchange_rates\/html\/index.en.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ECB Reference Rates<\/a> (October 15, 2026) and Google Finance. EUR\/USD 1.1208 \u00b7 EUR\/GBP 0.84610 \u00b7 EUR\/JPY 177.06 \u00b7 EUR\/AUD 1.6218.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Polyphenol Data:<\/strong> Published laboratory CoA results and peer-reviewed cultivar studies.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Trade Policy:<\/strong> Section 301 forced-labor tariffs on 60 economies (effective July 24, 2026; in-transit exemption expired July 28, 2026); EU-US trade deal implementing regulations (effective July 1, 2026), covering Turkey and Morocco at 12.5% and confirming Tunisia's absence from the 60-economy list; Spain's draft 2026\/27 olive oil marketing rule under Article 167a of Regulation (EU) 1308\/2013 and Royal Decree 84\/2021; USDA FAS (August 2026).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Regulatory &amp; Competition Data:<\/strong> Draft Commission Regulation amending Regulation (EU) 2023\/915 on MOAH maximum levels and draft Implementing Regulation amending Regulation (EC) 333\/2007 on sampling and analysis (both voted May 13, 2026; adoption targeted October 2026; European Commission MOH catalogue); IOC Decision DEC-III.10\/123-VI\/2026 (June 30, 2026); NYIOOC 2026 timelines; OLIVE JAPAN 2027, Los Angeles International EVOO Competition 2027 and JOOP 2027 calendars; Glass Packaging Institute \/ EcoFocus consumer research (October 2026).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-top: 8px; font-style: italic;\">Note: Prices represent wholesale \"ex-works\" bulk volumes. Retail shelf prices and specific premium estate pricing may vary significantly based on local certification and packaging costs. Where a source has not published a new reading this week, the most recent verified figure is carried forward and flagged accordingly. Regional sub-ranges are indicative and anchored to the latest national reading. Weather figures are indicative regional ranges.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- PRODUCER'S CORNER -->\n<div style=\"display: block; font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; background-color: #f4f7f0; border-left: 5px solid #556b2f; padding: 13px 18px; margin: 44px 0 18px; border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0; line-height: 1.2; letter-spacing: -0.2px;\">\ud83e\uded2 Producer's Corner<\/div>\n<div style=\"background: #f9fbf2; border: 2px solid #8b9d77; border-radius: 10px; padding: 28px; margin-top: 10px;\">\n  <div style=\"display: flex; align-items: center; gap: 12px; margin-bottom: 22px; flex-wrap: wrap;\">\n    <span style=\"background: #556b2f; color: #fff; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 9px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2.5px; text-transform: uppercase; padding: 4px 12px; border-radius: 20px;\">New This Week<\/span>\n    <span style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 13px; color: #666;\">Resources, deadlines and news curated for olive oil producers every Friday.<\/span>\n  <\/div>\n  <div style=\"display: flex; gap: 14px; flex-wrap: wrap; margin-bottom: 18px;\">\n    <div style=\"flex: 1 1 220px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; padding: 14px 16px; box-shadow: 0 1px 4px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n      <div style=\"font-size: 20px; margin-bottom: 6px;\">\ud83c\udfc6<\/div>\n      <div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; margin-bottom: 10px;\">Competition Deadlines<\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; border-bottom: 1px solid #eef2e8; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #c0392b; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">This Month \u00b7 Early Bird Opening Now<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">OLIVE JAPAN 2027 International Olive Oil Competition<\/strong><br>\n        Early Bird registration for the 2027 edition opens in mid-October at \u20ac250 per product (standard \u20ac300), with a \"buy 4, get 1 free\" offer. No chemical analysis report is required; samples are 3 \u00d7 500 ml (or 5 \u00d7 250 ml) and the final entry deadline is May 14, 2027.\n      <\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; border-bottom: 1px solid #eef2e8; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #c0392b; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">Now Live \u00b7 Early Bird December 14<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">Los Angeles International EVOO Competition 2027<\/strong><br>\n        Entries for the 2027 edition opened on October 12, 2026. The early-bird deadline (saving $25 per entry) is December 14, 2026; the final entry deadline is February 5, 2027 and the shipping deadline February 12, 2027 \u2014 a useful US showcase for new-crop oils.\n      <\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #888; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">Plan Ahead \u00b7 Japan \u00b7 Early Bird January 31<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">JOOP 2027 \u2014 Japan Olive Oil Prize<\/strong><br>\n        Only oils from the 2026\/27 harvest are eligible. Early-bird registration runs to January 31, 2027; the standard rate of \u20ac285 applies until May 7, 2027, with samples (1 L per entry plus an EN 17025 chemical analysis) due by May 15 and the awards in Tokyo on May 28, 2027.\n      <\/div>\n      <div style=\"background: #fdf2f0; border-left: 3px solid #c0392b; padding: 9px 13px; border-radius: 0 5px 5px 0; font-size: 12px; color: #7a1e1e; font-style: italic; margin-top: 10px;\">\n        \ud83d\udca1 Several 2027 competitions accept only 2026\/27 oil. As you mill your first lots, record the tank number and volume of the oil you plan to enter, and keep labelled samples back \u2014 and note which competitions require a lab analysis (JOOP) and which do not (OLIVE JAPAN).\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div style=\"flex: 1 1 220px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; padding: 14px 16px; box-shadow: 0 1px 4px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n      <div style=\"font-size: 20px; margin-bottom: 6px;\">\ud83d\udd2c<\/div>\n      <div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; margin-bottom: 10px;\">Lab &amp; Certification News<\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; border-bottom: 1px solid #eef2e8; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #c9a84c; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">This Month \u00b7 EU Contaminants \u00b7 MOAH<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">MOAH Limits: Formal Adoption Targeted for End-October<\/strong><br>\n        The Commission targets end-October 2026 for formal adoption of MOAH maximum levels \u2014 4.0 mg\/kg for olive oils (other than pomace) from March 1, 2027, and 2.0 mg\/kg from January 1, 2028 \u2014 together with new rules on sampling and analysis methods. Lampante and crude pomace oil carry no maximum level. Member States already use these levels as the basis for enforcement, so add MOSH\/MOAH to your 2026\/27 lab panel now.\n      <\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; border-bottom: 1px solid #eef2e8; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #888; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">Portugal \u00b7 Origin &amp; Fraud Controls<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">Farm Groups Call for Tighter Origin Checks<\/strong><br>\n        AJAP, CAP, CNA and Confagri asked on October 12 for stronger controls on olive oil origin \u2014 including oil stored under customs regimes \u2014 and action against the illegal blending of seed, pomace or deodorised oils into products sold as olive oil. Keep traceability and CoA records ready for every lot.\n      <\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #888; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">Twelve Weeks In \u00b7 Section 301<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">Certificate-of-Origin Scrutiny Stays Fully Live<\/strong><br>\n        US customs brokers continue full scrutiny of origin documentation for blended bulk oil from Tunisia, Turkey and Morocco. Keep Certificates of Origin current alongside quality CoAs (Intertek, SGS, ONAOO-panel labs) for every US-bound shipment of new-crop oil.\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div style=\"flex: 1 1 220px; background: #fff; border: 1px solid #dde8cc; border-radius: 8px; padding: 14px 16px; box-shadow: 0 1px 4px rgba(0,0,0,.05);\">\n      <div style=\"font-size: 20px; margin-bottom: 6px;\">\ud83d\udce6<\/div>\n      <div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 1.5px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #8b9d77; margin-bottom: 10px;\">Packaging &amp; Equipment<\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; border-bottom: 1px solid #eef2e8; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #c0392b; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">New \u00b7 Consumer Research \u00b7 Glass<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">Shoppers Look for Glass First on Pantry Staples<\/strong><br>\n        New EcoFocus research released by the Glass Packaging Institute (October 12) finds that 62% of US respondents look for glass first when buying pantry staples, 59% see glass as the only material they trust on chemical safety, and 71% want more glass options. For premium EVOO, dark glass remains the format that best matches quality positioning.\n      <\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; border-bottom: 1px solid #eef2e8; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #888; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">Greece \u00b7 The 17 kg Tin<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">Old-Crop Tin Value Holds: ~\u20ac58\u2013\u20ac64<\/strong><br>\n        At old-crop producer prices of \u20ac3.40\u2013\u20ac3.75\/kg, the oil in a 17 kg tin is worth roughly \u20ac58\u2013\u20ac64 before packing, transport and margins. If new-crop oil opens near \u20ac4\/kg, that rises to about \u20ac68. Producers selling direct in tins should price the container, filling and delivery separately.\n      <\/div>\n      <div style=\"padding: 7px 0; font-size: 13px; color: #444; line-height: 1.5;\">\n        <span style=\"font-size: 10px; color: #888; font-weight: 700; text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 1px; display: block; margin-bottom: 3px;\">B2B Wholesale<\/span>\n        <strong style=\"color: #3d4f22;\">Mediterrolio on Orderchamp &amp; Faire<\/strong><br>\n        Members can list on Orderchamp (EU) and Faire (global, 700,000+ retailers). Retail buyers are placing holiday-season orders now \u2014 list your new-harvest oils early so you're discoverable for Q4 ordering.\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <div style=\"background: linear-gradient(135deg, #3d4f22, #4a6030); border-radius: 8px; padding: 20px 22px; display: flex; align-items: center; justify-content: space-between; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 14px;\">\n    <div>\n      <div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: rgba(255,255,255,0.5); margin-bottom: 4px;\">For Producers<\/div>\n      <div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff; line-height: 1.3;\">Showcase your brand to 1,000+ olive oil professionals and global buyers<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/showcase-your-brand-to-the-world\/\" style=\"display: inline-block; background: #c9a84c; color: #2c1f00; text-decoration: none; padding: 10px 22px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; font-weight: bold; border-radius: 5px; white-space: nowrap;\">Join Mediterrolio \u2192<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- ADVERTISE IN MOPI -->\n<div style=\"background: #fff; border: 2px solid #c9a84c; border-radius: 10px; padding: 28px 28px; margin-top: 32px; display: flex; gap: 20px; flex-wrap: wrap; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"flex: 1 1 280px;\">\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 3px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #c9a84c; margin-bottom: 8px;\">Advertising Opportunity<\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; color: #3d4f22; margin-bottom: 8px;\">Advertise in the Mediterrolio Index (MOPI)<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 13px; color: #555; line-height: 1.7; margin: 0 0 8px;\">Reach olive oil importers, producers, traders and investors \u2014 the decision-makers who read the MOPI every Friday. Sponsored sections, banner placements and social media mentions available.<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; gap: 16px; flex-wrap: wrap; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 12px; color: #556b2f;\">\u2713 From \u20ac150\/issue &nbsp;\u2713 13,000+ social followers &nbsp;\u2713 100% B2B niche audience<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"flex: 0 0 auto; text-align: center;\">\n<a style=\"display: inline-block; background: #c9a84c; color: #1e2d10; text-decoration: none; padding: 12px 26px; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-weight: bold; border-radius: 5px; white-space: nowrap;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/advertise\/\">View Advertising Options \u2192<\/a>\n<div style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; color: #aaa; margin-top: 6px;\">info@mediterrolio.com<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- MARKET INTELLIGENCE TEASER -->\n<div style=\"background: linear-gradient(135deg, #0f1e2e 0%, #162840 60%, #1c3452 100%); border-radius: 10px; padding: 28px 32px; margin-top: 28px; position: relative; overflow: hidden;\">\n<div style=\"position: absolute; top: -30px; right: -30px; width: 160px; height: 160px; border-radius: 50%; border: 1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.05);\"><\/div>\n<div style=\"display: inline-block; background: rgba(201,168,76,0.2); border: 1px solid rgba(201,168,76,0.5); border-radius: 20px; padding: 4px 14px; margin-bottom: 14px; position: relative; z-index: 2;\"><span style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: 2px; text-transform: uppercase; color: #c9a84c;\">\ud83d\udd12 Members Only<\/span><\/div>\n<div style=\"font-family: Georgia,serif; font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold; color: #fff; margin-bottom: 8px; line-height: 1.2; position: relative; z-index: 2;\">Mediterrolio Market Intelligence<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 13px; color: rgba(255,255,255,0.7); line-height: 1.65; margin: 0 0 20px; max-width: 500px; position: relative; z-index: 2;\">Monthly deep-dive analysis exclusively for Mediterrolio members \u2014 producer prices, regional signals, supply forecasts and a concrete action list every month. 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Check back next Friday!<\/div>';return;}allPosts=posts;renderTabs(posts);renderGrid(posts);}).catch(function(){gridEl.innerHTML='<div style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:13px;color:#aaa;padding:20px;text-align:center;\">Could not load past reports. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/category\/market-report\/\" style=\"color:#556b2f;\">Browse archive \u2192<\/a><\/div>';});\n})();\n<\/script>\n\n<div class=\"mfooter\">\u00a9 2026 Mediterrolio Market Intelligence. The Mediterrolio Index (MOPI) is published every Friday. All data sourced from IOC, EU DG AGRI, Oleista (W42 Spain October 15; W41 Italy; W41 Greece; W40 Tunisia; W40 Portugal; W42 Lebanon), MAPA (national aforo 2026\/27), AICA (September 2026 market data), Junta de Andaluc\u00eda, ISMEA, INE Portugal, INS\/ONAGRI (Tunisia), Mercacei (POOLred), Infaoliva, Vesper, Certified Origins, Olive Oil Times, Wikifarmer, agrotypos.gr, IMF\/FRED (~$6,050\/tonne, latest available) and regional field cooperatives. FX rates: ECB October 15, 2026 and Google Finance \u2014 EUR\/USD 1.1208 \u00b7 EUR\/GBP 0.84610 \u00b7 EUR\/JPY 177.06 \u00b7 EUR\/AUD 1.6218.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- \/#mro-root -->\n\n<script>\n(function(){\n  var months = ['Nov','Dec','Jan','Feb','Mar','Apr','May','Jun','Jul','Aug','Sep','Oct'];\n  var ds = [\n    { label:'Spain (Ja\u00e9n)',    data:[4.50,4.30,4.40,4.30,4.10,3.93,3.73,3.60,3.44,3.42,3.40,3.16], borderColor:'#e8633a', backgroundColor:'rgba(232,99,58,0.07)', borderWidth:2.2, pointRadius:3.5, tension:0.38, fill:false },\n    { label:'Italy (Bari)',    data:[6.90,6.70,6.60,6.50,6.45,6.35,5.77,5.77,5.77,4.88,4.82,4.37], borderColor:'#2a7d4f', backgroundColor:'rgba(42,125,79,0.07)',  borderWidth:2.2, pointRadius:3.5, tension:0.38, fill:false },\n    { label:'Greece (Chania)', data:[5.10,4.80,4.65,4.60,4.44,4.44,3.93,3.83,3.70,3.70,3.74,3.66], borderColor:'#1a6fa8', backgroundColor:'rgba(26,111,168,0.07)',borderWidth:2.2, pointRadius:3.5, tension:0.38, fill:false },\n    { label:'Tunisia (Sfax)',  data:[4.20,4.10,4.05,4.00,3.95,3.93,3.93,3.71,3.71,3.71,3.63,3.53], borderColor:'#c9a84c', backgroundColor:'rgba(201,168,76,0.07)',borderWidth:2.2, pointRadius:3.5, tension:0.38, fill:false }\n  ];\n  var ctx = document.getElementById('mroCanvas').getContext('2d');\n  window._mroChart = new Chart(ctx, {\n    type:'line', data:{ labels:months, datasets:ds },\n    options:{\n      responsive:true, interaction:{mode:'index',intersect:false},\n      plugins:{\n        legend:{ position:'top', labels:{ font:{family:'Inter,sans-serif',size:11}, boxWidth:14, padding:12, usePointStyle:true } },\n        tooltip:{ backgroundColor:'rgba(30,40,15,0.9)', titleFont:{size:11}, bodyFont:{size:11}, padding:10,\n          callbacks:{ label: function(c){ return ' '+c.dataset.label+': \u20ac'+c.parsed.y.toFixed(2)+'\/kg'; } } }\n      },\n      scales:{\n        x:{ grid:{color:'rgba(0,0,0,0.04)'}, ticks:{font:{family:'Inter,sans-serif',size:10}} },\n        y:{ min:3.0, max:9.5, grid:{color:'rgba(0,0,0,0.04)'},\n          ticks:{font:{family:'Inter,sans-serif',size:10}, callback:function(v){ return '\u20ac'+v.toFixed(1); }},\n          title:{display:true, text:'\u20ac\/kg (wholesale at source)', font:{size:9.5}, color:'#aaa'} }\n      }\n    }\n  });\n  window.mroAll = function(btn){\n    document.querySelectorAll('#mro-root .mbtn').forEach(function(b){b.classList.remove('on');});\n    btn.classList.add('on');\n    window._mroChart.data.datasets.forEach(function(_,i){window._mroChart.setDatasetVisibility(i,true);});\n    window._mroChart.update();\n  };\n  window.mroOnly = function(btn,idx){\n    document.querySelectorAll('#mro-root .mbtn').forEach(function(b){b.classList.remove('on');});\n    btn.classList.add('on');\n    window._mroChart.data.datasets.forEach(function(_,i){window._mroChart.setDatasetVisibility(i,i===idx);});\n    window._mroChart.update();\n  };\n})();\n<\/script>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Weekly Intelligence Report The Mediterrolio Index Mediterranean Olive Oil Price Index (MOPI) | October 16, 2026 Updated: October 16, 2026 Weekly Intelligence \ud83d\udcec Get the Report in Your Inbox Join hundreds of olive oil professionals \u2014 producers, importers, traders and investors \u2014 who receive the Mediterrolio Market Update every Friday morning. Subscribe \u2192 \ud83c\udf81 New [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":14872,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1381],"tags":[1383,1386,1384,1385,1382],"class_list":["post-14867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-report","tag-evoo-wholesale","tag-market-report","tag-mediterranean-olive-oil","tag-olive-oil-market","tag-olive-oil-prices"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mediterrolio Olive Oil Market Report \u2014 Week of October 16, 2026 - Mediterrolio<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Mediterrolio weekly olive oil market report. 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