{"id":14456,"date":"2026-05-29T09:58:30","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T06:58:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/?p=14456"},"modified":"2026-05-30T10:22:47","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T07:22:47","slug":"mediterrolio-olive-oil-market-report-week-of-may-30-2026-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/it\/mediterrolio-olive-oil-market-report-week-of-may-30-2026-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Mediterrolio Olive Oil Market Report \u2014 Week of May 29, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<link rel=\"preconnect\" href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\">\n<link href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Playfair+Display:wght@700&#038;family=Inter:wght@300;400;600&#038;display=swap\" rel=\"stylesheet\">\n<style>\n#mro-root { max-width: 100% !important; overflow-x: hidden !important; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif !important; font-size: 15px !important; color: #2c2c2c !important; line-height: 1.6 !important; }\n#mro-root *, #mro-root *::before, #mro-root *::after { box-sizing: border-box !important; 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font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif !important; font-size: 13px !important; font-weight: 600 !important; cursor: pointer !important; }\n#mro-root .mnl-gift { font-size: 11px !important; color: #999 !important; font-style: italic !important; margin: 0 !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 CTA \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mcta { background: #f4f7f0 !important; border: 2px dashed #8b9d77 !important; border-radius: 8px !important; padding: 26px !important; margin-top: 32px !important; text-align: center !important; }\n#mro-root .mcta h3 { font-family: 'Playfair Display', serif !important; color: #3d4f22 !important; font-size: 16px !important; margin: 0 0 8px !important; text-transform: uppercase !important; letter-spacing: 1px !important; }\n#mro-root .mcta p { color: #555 !important; font-size: 13px !important; margin: 0 0 16px !important; }\n#mro-root .mcta-btn { display: inline-block !important; background-color: #3d4f22 !important; color: #fff !important; text-decoration: none !important; padding: 10px 26px !important; font-size: 13px !important; font-weight: 700 !important; border-radius: 5px !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 METHOD \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mmethod { background: #f5f5f2 !important; padding: 16px 20px !important; border-radius: 8px !important; font-size: 13px !important; color: #666 !important; margin-top: 22px !important; }\n#mro-root .mmethod .mh2 { color: #556b2f !important; font-size: 14px !important; margin: 0 0 8px !important; font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif !important; font-weight: 700 !important; background: none !important; border-left: none !important; padding: 0 !important; }\n#mro-root .mmethod ul { padding-left: 18px !important; margin: 6px 0 0 !important; }\n#mro-root .mmethod li { margin-bottom: 4px !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 FOOTER \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mfooter { margin-top: 32px !important; font-size: 11px !important; color: #aaa !important; text-align: center !important; border-top: 1px solid #dde8cc !important; padding-top: 14px !important; }\n#mro-root hr.mdiv { border: none !important; border-top: 1px solid #dde8cc !important; margin: 32px 0 !important; }\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n  #mro-root .mcards,\n  #mro-root .mgap-grid,\n  #mro-root .mpoly-grid,\n  #mro-root .mnews { flex-direction: column !important; }\n}\n<\/style>\n<p>  Weekly Intelligence Report<br \/>\n  The Mediterrolio Index<br \/>\n  Mediterranean Olive Oil Price Index (MOPI) | May 29, 2026<br \/>\n  Updated: May 29, 2026<br \/>\n<!-- UPDATE --><br \/>\n  Weekly Intelligence<br \/>\n  \ud83d\udcec Get the Report in Your Inbox<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:rgba(255,255,255,0.78);margin:0 auto 22px;max-width:460px;line-height:1.65;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;\">\n    Join 4,000+ olive oil professionals \u2014 producers, importers, traders and investors \u2014 who receive the Mediterrolio Market Update every <strong style=\"color:#fff;\">Friday morning<\/strong>.\n  <\/p>\n<p>      <input type=\"email\" id=\"mro-brevo-email\" placeholder=\"your@email.com\"\n        style=\"flex:1 1 auto;min-width:0;padding:12px 14px;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.3);border-right:none;border-radius:5px 0 0 5px;font-size:14px;background:rgba(255,255,255,0.12);color:#fff;outline:none;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;box-sizing:border-box;\"><br \/>\n      <button onclick=\"mroBrevoSubmit()\" id=\"mro-brevo-btn\"\n        style=\"flex:0 0 auto;padding:12px 20px;background-color:#c9a84c;color:#2c1f00;border:none;border-radius:0 5px 5px 0;font-size:13px;font-weight:700;cursor:pointer;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;white-space:nowrap;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;\"><br \/>\n        Subscribe \u2192<br \/>\n      <\/button><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:11px;color:rgba(255,255,255,0.4);font-style:italic;margin:0;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;\">\n    \ud83c\udf81 New subscribers receive: <em>&#8220;How to Read an Olive Oil Price Report&#8221;<\/em> \u2014 free 12-page PDF guide.\n  <\/p>\n<link rel=\"preconnect\" href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\">\n<link href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Playfair+Display:wght@700&#038;family=Inter:wght@300;400;600&#038;display=swap\" rel=\"stylesheet\">\n<style>\n#mro-root { max-width: 100% !important; overflow-x: hidden !important; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif !important; font-size: 15px !important; color: #2c2c2c !important; line-height: 1.6 !important; }\n#mro-root *, #mro-root *::before, #mro-root *::after { box-sizing: border-box !important; }\n\/* reset WP heading overrides *\/\n.mh2 {\n  font-family: 'Playfair Display', Georgia, serif !important;\n  color: #3d4f22 !important;\n  font-size: 22px !important;\n  font-weight: 700 !important;\n  line-height: 1.2 !important;\n  text-transform: none !important;\n  letter-spacing: -0.2px !important;\n  margin: 48px 0 18px !important;\n  padding: 14px 18px 14px 20px !important;\n  background-color: #f4f7f0 !important;\n  border-left: 5px solid #556b2f !important;\n  border-bottom: none !important;\n  border-radius: 0 6px 6px 0 !important;\n  display: block !important;\n}\n.mh3 {\n  font-family: 'Playfair Display', Georgia, serif !important;\n  color: #556b2f !important;\n  font-size: 17px !important;\n  font-weight: 700 !important;\n  margin: 28px 0 9px !important;\n  line-height: 1.2 !important;\n  padding-left: 12px !important;\n  border-left: 3px solid #8b9d77 !important;\n  display: block !important;\n}\n#mro-root p.mp { font-size: 14px !important; 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}\n#mro-root .mlist li { margin-bottom: 8px !important; font-size: 14px !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 SIGNAL BOX \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .msignal { border-radius: 8px !important; padding: 22px 28px !important; margin-top: 10px !important; }\n#mro-root .msignal-week { font-size: 10px !important; text-transform: uppercase !important; letter-spacing: 2px !important; opacity: .7 !important; margin-bottom: 5px !important; color: #fff !important; }\n#mro-root .msignal-title { font-family: 'Playfair Display', serif !important; font-size: 17px !important; font-weight: 700 !important; margin-bottom: 14px !important; line-height: 1.2 !important; color: #fff !important; }\n#mro-root .msignal-list { list-style: none !important; padding: 0 !important; margin: 0 !important; }\n#mro-root .msignal-list li { padding: 9px 0 !important; border-bottom: 1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.15) !important; font-size: 14px !important; display: flex !important; gap: 10px !important; align-items: flex-start !important; 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}\n#mro-root .mbtn.on, #mro-root .mbtn:hover { background: #556b2f !important; color: #fff !important; border-color: #556b2f !important; }\n#mro-root .mchart-note { font-size: 11px !important; color: #999 !important; text-align: center !important; margin-top: 8px !important; font-style: italic !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 RETAIL GAP \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mgap-grid { display: flex !important; gap: 12px !important; flex-wrap: wrap !important; margin-top: 12px !important; }\n#mro-root .mgap-card { flex: 1 1 190px !important; background: #fff !important; border: 1px solid #dde8cc !important; border-radius: 8px !important; overflow: hidden !important; box-shadow: 0 2px 6px rgba(0,0,0,.06) !important; }\n#mro-root .mgap-hd { padding: 9px 13px !important; font-size: 13px !important; font-weight: 700 !important; color: #fff !important; background-color: #3d4f22 !important; }\n#mro-root .mgap-body { padding: 10px 13px !important; }\n#mro-root .mgap-row { display: flex !important; justify-content: space-between !important; 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}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 FX \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mfx-wrap { overflow-x: auto !important; }\n#mro-root .mfx { width: 100% !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; font-size: 13px !important; border-radius: 6px !important; overflow: hidden !important; box-shadow: 0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.08) !important; }\n#mro-root .mfx th { background-color: #556b2f !important; color: #fff !important; padding: 9px 10px !important; text-align: center !important; font-size: 11px !important; }\n#mro-root .mfx th:first-child { text-align: left !important; }\n#mro-root .mfx td { padding: 8px 10px !important; border-bottom: 1px solid #e0e8d0 !important; text-align: center !important; font-size: 12px !important; background: transparent !important; }\n#mro-root .mfx td:first-child { text-align: left !important; font-weight: 600 !important; color: #3d4f22 !important; }\n#mro-root .mfx tr:last-child td { border-bottom: none !important; }\n#mro-root .mfx tr:nth-child(even) td { background-color: #f8faf4 !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 POLYPHENOL \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mpoly-grid { display: flex !important; gap: 12px !important; flex-wrap: wrap !important; margin-top: 12px !important; }\n#mro-root .mpoly-card { flex: 1 1 250px !important; background: #fff !important; border: 1px solid #dde8cc !important; border-radius: 8px !important; padding: 13px 15px !important; box-shadow: 0 2px 5px rgba(0,0,0,.05) !important; }\n#mro-root .mpoly-hd { display: flex !important; justify-content: space-between !important; align-items: flex-start !important; margin-bottom: 9px !important; }\n#mro-root .mpoly-country { font-weight: 700 !important; font-size: 14px !important; color: #3d4f22 !important; }\n#mro-root .mpoly-variety { font-size: 11px !important; color: #999 !important; margin-top: 1px !important; }\n#mro-root .mpoly-badge { font-size: 10px !important; font-weight: 700 !important; padding: 2px 8px !important; border-radius: 10px !important; white-space: nowrap !important; }\n#mro-root .mbar-wrap { background: #eef0ea !important; border-radius: 4px !important; height: 7px !important; overflow: hidden !important; margin-bottom: 6px !important; }\n#mro-root .mbar { height: 7px !important; border-radius: 4px !important; background: linear-gradient(90deg, #8b9d77, #3d4f22) !important; }\n#mro-root .mpoly-range { font-size: 12px !important; color: #555 !important; }\n#mro-root .mpoly-note { font-size: 11px !important; color: #999 !important; font-style: italic !important; margin-top: 3px !important; }\n\/* risk colors *\/\n#mro-root .rh { color: #c0392b !important; font-weight: 700 !important; }\n#mro-root .rm { color: #d4860a !important; font-weight: 700 !important; }\n#mro-root .rl { color: #556b2f !important; font-weight: 700 !important; }\n#mro-root .td { color: #c0392b !important; font-weight: 700 !important; }\n#mro-root .tf { color: #777 !important; font-weight: 700 !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 NEWSLETTER \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mnl { background: #f9fbf2 !important; border: 2px solid #8b9d77 !important; border-radius: 10px !important; padding: 26px 24px !important; margin-top: 36px !important; text-align: center !important; }\n#mro-root .mnl h3 { font-family: 'Playfair Display', serif !important; color: #3d4f22 !important; font-size: 18px !important; margin: 0 0 8px !important; }\n#mro-root .mnl p { font-size: 13px !important; color: #555 !important; margin: 0 0 16px !important; max-width: 500px !important; margin-left: auto !important; margin-right: auto !important; }\n#mro-root .mnl-form { display: flex !important; gap: 8px !important; max-width: 400px !important; margin: 0 auto 10px !important; justify-content: center !important; flex-wrap: wrap !important; }\n#mro-root .mnl-input { flex: 1 1 180px !important; padding: 9px 13px !important; border: 1px solid #c0d0a8 !important; border-radius: 5px !important; font-size: 13px !important; font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif !important; background: #fff !important; color: #333 !important; }\n#mro-root .mnl-btn { padding: 9px 18px !important; background-color: #3d4f22 !important; color: #fff !important; border: none !important; border-radius: 5px !important; font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif !important; font-size: 13px !important; font-weight: 600 !important; cursor: pointer !important; }\n#mro-root .mnl-gift { font-size: 11px !important; color: #999 !important; font-style: italic !important; margin: 0 !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 CTA \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mcta { background: #f4f7f0 !important; border: 2px dashed #8b9d77 !important; border-radius: 8px !important; padding: 26px !important; margin-top: 32px !important; text-align: center !important; }\n#mro-root .mcta h3 { font-family: 'Playfair Display', serif !important; color: #3d4f22 !important; font-size: 16px !important; margin: 0 0 8px !important; text-transform: uppercase !important; letter-spacing: 1px !important; }\n#mro-root .mcta p { color: #555 !important; font-size: 13px !important; margin: 0 0 16px !important; }\n#mro-root .mcta-btn { display: inline-block !important; background-color: #3d4f22 !important; color: #fff !important; text-decoration: none !important; padding: 10px 26px !important; font-size: 13px !important; font-weight: 700 !important; border-radius: 5px !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 METHOD \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mmethod { background: #f5f5f2 !important; padding: 16px 20px !important; border-radius: 8px !important; font-size: 13px !important; color: #666 !important; margin-top: 22px !important; }\n#mro-root .mmethod .mh2 { color: #556b2f !important; font-size: 14px !important; margin: 0 0 8px !important; font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif !important; font-weight: 700 !important; background: none !important; border-left: none !important; padding: 0 !important; }\n#mro-root .mmethod ul { padding-left: 18px !important; margin: 6px 0 0 !important; }\n#mro-root .mmethod li { margin-bottom: 4px !important; }\n\/* \u2500\u2500 FOOTER \u2500\u2500 *\/\n#mro-root .mfooter { margin-top: 32px !important; font-size: 11px !important; color: #aaa !important; text-align: center !important; border-top: 1px solid #dde8cc !important; padding-top: 14px !important; }\n#mro-root hr.mdiv { border: none !important; border-top: 1px solid #dde8cc !important; margin: 32px 0 !important; }\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n  #mro-root .mcards,\n  #mro-root .mgap-grid,\n  #mro-root .mpoly-grid,\n  #mro-root .mnews { flex-direction: column !important; }\n}\n<\/style>\n<p><strong>The Mediterrolio Index (MOPI) \u00b7 May 29, 2026.<\/strong> The Mediterranean wholesale olive oil market enters the final week of May at an inflection point. Spain&#8217;s EVOO hit a new 5-year low of \u20ac3.93\/kg (\u22123.67% in 10 days, Oleista W22), yet the supply narrative is reversing sharply: OliveA confirmed 880,000 tonnes \u2014 70% of the entire 2025\/26 crop \u2014 already contracted. Preliminary 2026\/27 flowering fertility data shows a 37% decline. The window for locking in sub-\u20ac4.00 Spanish EVOO is closing faster than buyers anticipated.<br \/>\n<!-- BUYER SIGNAL --><br \/>\n\ud83c\udfaf Buyer&#8217;s Signal of the Week<br \/>\n  Week of May 26\u201330, 2026<br \/>\n  3 Actionable Moves for This Week<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\n      \u26a1<br \/>\n      <strong>URGENT \u2014 Lock Spanish contracts now before June price reversal.<\/strong> OliveA confirmed 880,000 tonnes \u2014 nearly 70% of the entire 2025\/26 crop \u2014 already sold in 7 months. Stocks at campaign lows. Preliminary 2026\/27 flowering fertility data: \u221237%. Spain EVOO at \u20ac3.93\/kg (5-year low). May\u2013June = peak export window (~21.5% of annual volume). Sign forward contracts now \u2014 this entry point won&#8217;t repeat.\n    <\/li>\n<li>\n      \ud83c\udfaf<br \/>\n      <strong>OPPORTUNITY \u2014 Tunisia: 49 gold medals at Geneva 2026, best quality-per-euro in the Med.<\/strong> Tunisia won 49 gold medals at the European EIOO Competition in Geneva (April 14\u201316, 2026) \u2014 surpassing all nations. 2025\/26 harvest: exceptional chemical purity, near-zero acidity, zero organoleptic defects. At \u20ac3.90\/kg, Tunisian Chetoui-blended EVOO is the best value proposition in the market. EU duty-free quota (56,700t) fully allocated \u2014 use IPR framework for continued access.\n    <\/li>\n<li>\n      \ud83c\udf3f<br \/>\n      <strong>QUALITY PLAY \u2014 Croatian EVOO: 128 NYIOOC 2026 awards, 2nd in the world \u2014 still accessible.<\/strong> Croatia finished 2nd globally at the 2026 NYIOOC (1,021 entries, 29 countries) with 128 awards (103 Gold). Led by Avistria for the 3rd consecutive year. At \u20ac13.50\u2013\u20ac16.00\/kg for Istrian ultra-premium, Croatian boutique EVOO competes directly with Italian PDO oils at the same quality tier \u2014 at lower price. Producers are calling for a national branding strategy to capitalise commercially.\n    <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- NEWS --><br \/>\n\ud83d\udcf0 Industry News This Week<br \/>\n  Supply Warning \u00b7 Spain<strong>OliveA: 880,000t contracted \u2014 70% of 2025\/26 season sold in 7 months, stocks at campaign lows.<\/strong> Spain&#8217;s olive production association issued its most urgent market signal of the season: nearly the entire commercial surplus has been absorbed in just seven months. Preliminary 2026\/27 flowering data: \u221237% fertility. May\u2013June = ~21.5% of annual Spanish export volume. Buyers who deferred are now entering a tightened supply environment with no low-price buffer remaining.<br \/>\n  IOC \u00b7 PDO\/GI Workshop<strong>IOC to host landmark PDO\/GI workshop on June 11, 2026 in Madrid.<\/strong> The International Olive Council is organising a free specialised workshop on Protected Designations of Origin and Protected Geographical Indications \u2014 covering quality assurance, product differentiation and market development. Open to producers, exporters and cooperatives, online and in person. Registration at internationaloliveoil.org. The IOC also completed a regional organoleptic training course (May 18\u201322) at ONH headquarters in Sfax, Tunisia.<br \/>\n  Croatia \u00b7 NYIOOC 2026<strong>Croatia earns 128 NYIOOC 2026 awards \u2014 2nd in the world \u2014 producers call for national branding.<\/strong> Croatia finished 2nd globally at the 2026 NYIOOC World Olive Oil Competition (1,021 entries, 29 countries). 128 awards: 103 Gold, 25 Silver. Avistria led the tally for the 3rd consecutive year. Italian producers: 1st (166 awards); Greece: 3rd (106); USA: 4th (95); Spain: 5th (85). Croatian producers are calling for a national branding strategy to leverage this recognition commercially ahead of 2027.<br \/>\n  Italy \u00b7 Antitrust<strong>Italian AGCM antitrust probe targets supermarket pricing squeezing olive farmers.<\/strong> Italy&#8217;s competition authority is examining how major supermarket chains are offering EVOO at deeply discounted prices \u2014 some reportedly below production cost. Coldiretti estimates Italian producers are losing \u20ac180\u2013220 million\/year in lost margin. The probe outcome (expected Q3 2026) could force shelf price realignment across EU retail and ripple into European private-label contracts.<br \/>\n<!-- PRODUCER PRICES --><br \/>\nWeekly Producer Prices (At Source)<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Region \/ Country<\/th>\n<th>Extra Virgin (EVOO)<\/th>\n<th>Virgin (VOO)<\/th>\n<th>Trend<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Spagna<\/strong> (National \u00b7 Oleista W22, May 29)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.75 \u2013 \u20ac4.10\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac3.93<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.24 \u2013 \u20ac3.44\/kg \u00b7 avg \u20ac3.34<\/td>\n<td>\u2193 \u22123.67% \/ 10 days \u00b7 5yr low<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Italy<\/strong> (National \u00b7 Oleista W21)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac6.20 \u2013 \u20ac6.50\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac6.35<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.05\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2193 Continued softening<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Grecia<\/strong> (National \u00b7 IOC W21, May 18)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.30 \u2013 \u20ac4.85\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac4.44<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.30\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2194 Stable \u00b7 Italian buyers active<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tunisia<\/strong> (Export \u00b7 ONH)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.75 \u2013 \u20ac4.00\/kg \u00b7 avg <strong>\u20ac3.90<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac2.78\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2194 Floor holding \u00b7 quota full<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Portogallo<\/strong> (National \u00b7 Oleista)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.00 \u2013 \u20ac4.35\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.30 \u2013 \u20ac3.55\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2194 Spain-aligned \u00b7 late flowering<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Turkey<\/strong> (Export \u00b7 Izmir)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.20 \u2013 \u20ac4.80\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.20\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2194 Competitive \u00b7 IPR active<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Morocco<\/strong> (Export \u00b7 F\u00e8s-Mekn\u00e8s)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.00 \u2013 \u20ac4.30\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2014<\/td>\n<td>\u2194 Plentiful 2025\/26 crop<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><!-- CHART --><br \/>\n\ud83d\udcc8 12-Month EVOO Price History (\u20ac\/kg)<br \/>\n    <button onclick=\"mroAll(this)\">All Origins<\/button><br \/>\n    <button onclick=\"mroOnly(this,0)\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain<\/button><br \/>\n    <button onclick=\"mroOnly(this,1)\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy<\/button><br \/>\n    <button onclick=\"mroOnly(this,2)\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece<\/button><br \/>\n    <button onclick=\"mroOnly(this,3)\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia<\/button><br \/>\n  <canvas id=\"mroCanvas\" style=\"max-height:280px;\"><\/canvas><br \/>\n  Wholesale EVOO bulk prices at source (\u20ac\/kg), monthly midpoints Jun 2025 \u2192 May 2026. Sources: IOC, POOLred\/Mercacei, Oleista.<br \/>\n<!-- MARKET SUMMARY --><br \/>\nMarket Summary &amp; Forecasts<\/p>\n<p>The Mediterranean wholesale olive oil market enters the final week of May 2026 at an inflection point. Prices continued their downward drift \u2014 Spain hit a new 5-year low of \u20ac3.93\/kg (\u22123.67% in 10 days, Oleista W22) \u2014 but the supply narrative is sharply reversing. OliveA confirmed that <strong>880,000 tonnes \u2014 70% of the entire 2025\/26 production \u2014 has already been contracted in just 7 months<\/strong>, with stocks at campaign lows. Preliminary 2026\/27 flowering data shows a 37% fertility decline. Tunisia&#8217;s quality story strengthened: 49 gold medals at Geneva 2026 and a record ONH competition confirm North African EVOO is no longer just a volume play. Croatia&#8217;s 128 NYIOOC awards confirm its place among the world&#8217;s elite producers for the third consecutive year.<\/p>\n<p>  Cheapest Bulk SourceTunisia\u20ac3.75 \u2013 \u20ac3.90\/kg<br \/>\n  Forward Alert \u26a0\ufe0fSpain70% sold \u2014 window closing<br \/>\n  Mainstream BenchmarkSpain\u20ac3.93\/kg \u2014 5yr low<br \/>\n  Best Value\/QualityTunisia49 Geneva gold medals<br \/>\n  Boutique PremiumCroatia128 NYIOOC awards<br \/>\n<!-- RETAIL GAP --><br \/>\n\ud83d\uded2 Retail Price Gap Tracker<\/p>\n<p>A structural 60\u201390 day time-lag separates wholesale corrections from supermarket shelf prices. The data below compares current wholesale &#8220;at source&#8221; vs. verified retail shelf prices in three key import markets \u2014 revealing the margin supermarkets are currently capturing.<\/p>\n<p>    \ud83c\udde9\ud83c\uddea Germany (\u20ac\/L EVOO)<br \/>\n      Spanish bulk (landed)\u2248 \u20ac4.50\/L<br \/>\n      Lidl \/ Aldi private label\u20ac7.50\u2013\u20ac8.00\/L<br \/>\n      Rewe \/ Bertolli brand\u20ac9.50\u2013\u20ac12.50\/L<br \/>\n      Discounter margin+67\u201378%<br \/>\n    \ud83c\uddec\ud83c\udde7 United Kingdom (\u00a3\/L EVOO)<br \/>\n      Spanish bulk (landed)\u2248 \u00a33.90\/L<br \/>\n      Lidl Primadonna (500ml)\u00a39.98\/L equiv.<br \/>\n      Tesco \/ Sainsbury&#8217;s own\u00a310\u2013\u00a314\/L<br \/>\n      Discounter margin+156%<br \/>\n    \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 United States ($\/L EVOO)<br \/>\n      Spanish bulk (landed)\u2248 $5.20\/L<br \/>\n      Trader Joe&#8217;s 1L EVOO$11.00\/L<br \/>\n      Premium \/ organic brands$18\u2013$32\/L<br \/>\n      Supermarket margin+112%<br \/>\n\ud83d\udca1 <strong>Key insight (Week 22):<\/strong> Spain hit a 5-year wholesale low of \u20ac3.93\/kg (\u221250.3% YoY) yet supermarket shelf prices have declined only 8\u201315%. The AGCM antitrust probe in Italy is examining exactly this structural gap. With Spain&#8217;s forward supply tightening, the window for cheap private-label sourcing is shorter than retailers realise.<br \/>\n<!-- FX --><br \/>\n\ud83d\udcb1 MOPI FX Impact Calculator<\/p>\n<p>All MOPI prices are quoted in EUR. Click a currency to instantly convert all wholesale prices. Rates as of May 24, 2026 (ECB).<\/p>\n<p>    Show in:<br \/>\n    <button id=\"fxb-EUR\" onclick=\"setFXCur('EUR',1,'EUR')\" style=\"padding:4px 13px;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-weight:600;cursor:pointer;border:1px solid #3d4f22;background:#3d4f22;color:#fff;\">EUR \u20ac<\/button><br \/>\n    <button id=\"fxb-USD\" onclick=\"setFXCur('USD',1.165,'$')\" style=\"padding:4px 13px;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-weight:600;cursor:pointer;border:1px solid #8b9d77;background:transparent;color:#556b2f;\">USD $<\/button><br \/>\n    <button id=\"fxb-GBP\" onclick=\"setFXCur('GBP',0.867,'GBP')\" style=\"padding:4px 13px;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-weight:600;cursor:pointer;border:1px solid #8b9d77;background:transparent;color:#556b2f;\">GBP \u00a3<\/button><br \/>\n    <button id=\"fxb-JPY\" onclick=\"setFXCur('JPY',185.5,'JPY')\" style=\"padding:4px 13px;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-weight:600;cursor:pointer;border:1px solid #8b9d77;background:transparent;color:#556b2f;\">JPY \u00a5<\/button><br \/>\n    <button id=\"fxb-AUD\" onclick=\"setFXCur('AUD',1.621,'A$')\" style=\"padding:4px 13px;border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-weight:600;cursor:pointer;border:1px solid #8b9d77;background:transparent;color:#556b2f;\">AUD A$<\/button><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:10px;color:#bbb;text-align:right;margin:5px 0 0;font-style:italic;\">Mid-market rates ECB \/ Google Finance May 29 2026. Verify with your bank for transactional use.<\/p>\n<p><!-- WEATHER --><br \/>\n\u2600\ufe0f Weather &amp; Agronomic Conditions<\/p>\n<p>Current weather conditions across key producing regions and their impact on the 2025\/26 crop cycle. Impact is assessed relative to the current <strong>phenological stage<\/strong> \u2014 the same weather can be beneficial or harmful depending on what stage the olive tree is at.<\/p>\n<p>  <!-- SPAIN --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Andalusia, Spain<br \/>\n      \u2600\ufe0f<br \/>\n        Temperature30\u201336\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallDry<br \/>\n        StageFruit Set \u26a0\ufe0f<br \/>\n        <strong>\u26a0\ufe0f Critical Heat Alert:<\/strong> Andalusia has entered fruit set under temperatures of 30\u201336\u00b0C. AccuWeather forecasts highs of 33\u201340\u00b0C for early June. Sustained heat above 38\u00b0C during fruit set risks accelerated fruit drop and reduced oil content per olive. Traditional rain-fed Ja\u00e9n groves are most exposed \u2014 irrigated super-intensive estates can buffer this. Key agronomic risk for the 2026\/27 harvest.<br \/>\n  <!-- ITALY --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Apulia, Italy<br \/>\n      \ud83c\udf26\ufe0f<br \/>\n        Temperature22\u201327\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallLight showers<br \/>\n        StageActive Fruit Set<br \/>\n        <strong>\u2705 Excellent Conditions:<\/strong> Southern Italy is experiencing active fruit set under ideal conditions \u2014 22\u201327\u00b0C with partly cloudy skies and occasional light moisture. Coratina and Terra di Bari PDO groves are benefiting. No heat stress risk this week. The Italy\u2013Greece arbitrage (\u20ac6.35 vs \u20ac4.44) is driving active Italian merchant sourcing in Greece this week.<br \/>\n  <!-- GREECE --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Peloponnese &amp; Crete<br \/>\n      \ud83c\udf24\ufe0f<br \/>\n        Temperature24\u201329\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallStable \/ dry<br \/>\n        StageEarly Fruit Set<br \/>\n        <strong>\u2705 Optimal Conditions:<\/strong> The Peloponnese (Kalamata) and Crete are experiencing ideal early fruit set conditions \u2014 sunny, dry, 24\u201329\u00b0C. MetOffice confirms stable high pressure over the Aegean with <5% precipitation probability through early June. Irrigated Koroneiki estates are showing strong fruitlet retention. Premium lots tracking toward 500+ mg\/kg polyphenols \u2014 consistent with Greece's 106 NYIOOC 2026 awards and active Italian buyer demand.\n  <!-- TURKEY --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Izmir Region, Turkey<br \/>\n      \u26c8\ufe0f<br \/>\n        Temperature20\u201324\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallConvective showers<br \/>\n        StageEarly Fruit Set<br \/>\n        <strong>\u2705 Favourable Transition:<\/strong> Izmir records 23\u201329\u00b0C with mainly sunny skies \u2014 ideal conditions for early fruit set following a clean flowering phase. Ayval\u0131k and Memecik variety groves are entering fruitlet development under benign conditions. No precipitation risk this week. Positive outlook for Turkish quality in 2026\/27.<br \/>\n  <!-- TUNISIA --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Sfax &amp; Sahel, Tunisia<br \/>\n      \ud83c\udf24\ufe0f<br \/>\n        Temperature26\u201329\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallStable \/ dry<br \/>\n        StagePost-Bloom \u00b7 Fruit Set<br \/>\n        <strong>\u2705 Strong Post-Bloom Conditions:<\/strong> Sfax records 24\u201327\u00b0C with minimal rainfall (17mm total for May) \u2014 textbook conditions for post-bloom fruit set. Following the record 380,000\u2013400,000t harvest of 2025\/26, early 2026\/27 fruitlet development is progressing well. The historic 49 Geneva gold medals confirm this region&#8217;s quality trajectory is improving season on season.<br \/>\n  <!-- MOROCCO --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 F\u00e8s-Mekn\u00e8s &amp; Marrakech<br \/>\n      \u26c5<br \/>\n        Temperature22\u201327\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallModerate cloud<br \/>\n        StageFruit Set<br \/>\n        <strong>\u2705 Positive Outlook:<\/strong> Long-term winter precipitation filled primary dams to 45% capacity \u2014 a significant improvement after multi-year drought. At fruit set stage, moderate cloud cover and mild temperatures are supporting healthy fruitlet development across the main growing regions.<br \/>\n  <!-- CROATIA --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Istria &amp; Dalmatia, Croatia<br \/>\n      \ud83c\udf24\ufe0f<br \/>\n        Temperature18\u201324\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallOccasional showers<br \/>\n        StageFull Bloom<br \/>\n        <strong>\u26a0\ufe0f Monitor Closely:<\/strong> Croatian Istrian and Dalmatian groves are at full bloom \u2014 the most weather-sensitive stage. Occasional showers provide beneficial humidity but producers are watching for prolonged wet periods that could impair pollination. Temperatures (18\u201324\u00b0C) are ideal. Boutique producers are tracking conditions day-by-day to optimise their signature early-harvest timing \u2014 the quality that earned Croatia 128 NYIOOC 2026 awards.<br \/>\n  <!-- PORTUGAL --><br \/>\n      \ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Alentejo &amp; Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes<br \/>\n      \u26c5<br \/>\n        Temperature20\u201326\u00b0C<br \/>\n        RainfallPartly cloudy<br \/>\n        StageLate Flowering<br \/>\n        <strong>\u2705 Favourable Conditions:<\/strong> Mild temperatures and moderate cloud cover are providing a stable flowering environment for both Alentejo super-intensive estates and traditional Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes mountain groves. Following a season where production dropped ~20% below forecast, the 2025\/26 crop is tracking towards a recovery \u2014 conditions this week support a healthy fruit set.<br \/>\n  <strong>\ud83d\udccc Phenological note (Week of May 29, 2026):<\/strong> Spain is now in the critical fruit set stage under elevated temperatures (30\u201336\u00b0C) \u2014 the key agronomic risk this week. Italy and Greece are in active\/early fruit set under excellent conditions. Tunisia and Morocco are in post-bloom\/fruit set. Croatia is at full bloom (monitor closely). Portugal is completing late flowering. All impact assessments are relative to current phenological stage \u2014 the same conditions carry opposite implications at different growth phases.<br \/>\n\u2696\ufe0f MOPI Country Comparison Tool<\/p>\n<p>Compare two origins side-by-side across price, quality, polyphenols, freight and EU market access.<\/p>\n<p>    <label style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#8b9d77;display:block;margin-bottom:4px;\">Origin A<\/label><br \/>\n    <select id=\"cca\" style=\"width:100%;padding:8px 10px;border:1px solid #dde8cc;border-radius:5px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:#333;background:#fff;\"><option value=\"gr\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania)<\/option><option value=\"grm\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani Premium)<\/option><option value=\"es\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Jaen)<\/option><option value=\"tn\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax)<\/option><option value=\"it\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari)<\/option><option value=\"itu\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany PDO)<\/option><option value=\"pt\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal (Alentejo)<\/option><option value=\"tr\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir)<\/option><option value=\"ma\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco<\/option><option value=\"hr\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria)<\/option><option value=\"ar\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina (Mendoza)<\/option><option value=\"au\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/option><\/select><br \/>\n    <label style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#8b9d77;display:block;margin-bottom:4px;\">Origin B<\/label><br \/>\n    <select id=\"ccb\" style=\"width:100%;padding:8px 10px;border:1px solid #dde8cc;border-radius:5px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:#333;background:#fff;\"><option value=\"es\" selected>\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Jaen)<\/option><option value=\"gr\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania)<\/option><option value=\"grm\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani Premium)<\/option><option value=\"tn\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax)<\/option><option value=\"it\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari)<\/option><option value=\"itu\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany PDO)<\/option><option value=\"pt\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal (Alentejo)<\/option><option value=\"tr\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir)<\/option><option value=\"ma\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco<\/option><option value=\"hr\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria)<\/option><option value=\"ar\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina (Mendoza)<\/option><option value=\"au\">\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/option><\/select><br \/>\n    <button onclick=\"doCompare()\" style=\"padding:9px 22px;background:#3d4f22;color:#fff;border:none;border-radius:5px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:12px;font-weight:700;cursor:pointer;\">Compare \u2192<\/button><br \/>\nAnalysis by Country<br \/>\n\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece<\/p>\n<p>The wholesale olive oil market in Greece has settled significantly compared to the record-high spikes of previous seasons. Driven by a solid production recovery in the 2025\/2026 harvest (roughly 30% increase in national yield to around 250,000 tonnes), current wholesale prices have stabilized at bulk ex-works levels.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Regione<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Peloponnese<\/strong> (Messenia\/Laconia)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.40 \u2013 \u20ac4.85\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Crete<\/strong> (Chania\/Heraklion)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.30 \u2013 \u20ac4.70\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Lesbos &amp; Aegean Islands<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.20 \u2013 \u20ac4.55\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Premium Organic \/ Single Estate<\/strong> (Mani)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac5.00 \u2013 \u20ac5.50\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The &#8220;Frozen&#8221; Market:<\/strong> Greek wholesale trading is experiencing a relatively quiet period. While premium &#8220;extra-issimo&#8221; oils are sitting tight in storage, international buying interest (particularly from major Italian bottlers) is moving cautiously.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Price Gap Protest:<\/strong> A notable price gap between Greek producer prices (\u20ac4.30\u2013\u20ac5.20) and Italian producer prices (\u20ac6.50\u2013\u20ac7.50) triggered widespread protests among Greek farmers earlier in the season.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Quality Over Volume:<\/strong> Irrigated groves in the Peloponnese and Crete are yielding exceptionally low acidity levels (around 0.3\u00b0 or lower) with strong polyphenol profiles, commanding the absolute top tier of the listed wholesale ranges.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy<\/p>\n<p>Italian wholesale olive oil prices are structurally higher than those in Greece and Spain. While the market has softened from historic highs\u2014dropping from over \u20ac9.00\/kg into the \u20ac6.00\u2013\u20ac7.00 range\u2014Italian EVOO continues to command a steep premium due to high domestic demand, lower production volumes, and strict PDO protection.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Region \/ Prestige Category<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Apulia<\/strong> (Bari\/Foggia \u2013 Bulk Base)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac6.40 \u2013 \u20ac6.70\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Sicily<\/strong> (Val di Mazara \/ PDO Bulk)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac6.65 \u2013 \u20ac7.00\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tuscany \/ Umbria<\/strong> (Premium IGP\/PDO)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac7.50 \u2013 \u20ac8.80\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Calabria<\/strong> (Commercial EVOO Blend Base)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac6.30 \u2013 \u20ac6.55\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The Buyer Stand-Off:<\/strong> Industrial bottlers in northern Italy are aggressively pushing back against domestic mills trying to keep prices near the \u20ac7.00 mark, with cheaper Spanish and Tunisian inventories available at \u20ac4.00\u2013\u20ac4.50\/kg.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rising Supply Pressure:<\/strong> Sellers are showing increased willingness to move product, but buyers are purchasing strictly &#8220;hand-to-mouth,&#8221; keeping wholesale trade volumes uncharacteristically quiet.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Blend Dependency:<\/strong> Buying high-quality Greek EVOO at roughly \u20ac4.50\/kg and bringing it to Italian blending hubs remains a highly profitable trade route, explaining why Italian merchants are heavily active in Greece.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain<\/p>\n<p>Spain is the undisputed heavy hitter of the global olive oil industry, producing roughly half of the world&#8217;s supply. Following a massive market correction after consecutive drought-impacted seasons, Spain&#8217;s wholesale market has experienced a sharp downward price adjustment to a competitive national average of \u20ac4.00\u2013\u20ac4.30\/kg for EVOO.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Agricultural Hub<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Ja\u00e9n<\/strong> (Principal Co-op Market Baseline)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.00 \u2013 \u20ac4.15\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>C\u00f3rdoba<\/strong> (High-Yield Arbequina\/Picual)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.05 \u2013 \u20ac4.20\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Seville<\/strong> (Commercial Tanker Grade)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.95 \u2013 \u20ac4.10\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Catalonia<\/strong> (Siurana \/ Premium Arbequina)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.40 \u2013 \u20ac4.75\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>National Quality Breakdown:<\/strong> Virgin Olive Oil (VOO) has settled at \u20ac3.30\u2013\u20ac3.60\/kg. Lampante Oil hovers at \u20ac2.95\u2013\u20ac3.20\/kg as global refinery operations scale back up.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Evaporated Panic &amp; Normalized Yields:<\/strong> According to POOLred metrics, sellers have dropped asking prices by 15\u201325% from past peaks to encourage large-scale liquid asset movement.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aggressive Export Advantage:<\/strong> Spanish EVOO is roughly 36% less expensive than domestic Italian oil, driving aggressive export campaigns toward Northern Italian industrial bottlers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal<\/p>\n<p>Portugal occupies a fascinating spot in the Iberian market. Following a median harvest cycle where production dropped about 20% below initial forecasts, Portuguese wholesale EVOO bulk prices have aligned closely with mid-to-high quality Spanish benchmarks at \u20ac4.10\u2013\u20ac4.60\/kg.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Regione<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Alentejo<\/strong> (Super-Intensive \/ Modern Estates)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.10 \u2013 \u20ac4.30\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tr\u00e1s-os-Montes<\/strong> (Traditional Mountain Groves)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.45 \u2013 \u20ac4.80\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Centro \/ Ribatejo<\/strong> (Blended Commercial Base)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.20 \u2013 \u20ac4.45\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The North African Influx:<\/strong> A major talking point among Portuguese millers is the influx of cheap bulk imports from Tunisia, making it difficult for high-labor traditional northern mills to protect margins.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dual-Track Industry:<\/strong> High-tech Alentejo mills absorb corrections down to \u20ac4.10 easily via optimized hectare costs, while traditional northern farmers face a standstill in selling activity.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey<\/p>\n<p>Turkey has fast become an aggressive power player in the Mediterranean bulk trade. After lifting bulk export bans implemented to control domestic inflation, current baseline wholesale prices for Turkish EVOO hover between \u20ac4.20\u2013\u20ac5.20\/kg.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Core Producing Region<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range (EUR equiv.)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Izmir<\/strong> (Izmir \/ Ayval\u0131k Varieties)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.20 \u2013 \u20ac4.55\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Milas<\/strong> (High-Polyphenol Memecik)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.40 \u2013 \u20ac4.90\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Marmara Region<\/strong> (Gemlik \/ Dual-Purpose Base)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.30 \u2013 \u20ac4.65\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Southeast Anatolia<\/strong> (Nizip \/ Traditional Cooperative)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.10 \u2013 \u20ac4.40\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The Italian Blending Target:<\/strong> Italian packagers are heavily targeting high-grade Turkish Memecik or Ayval\u0131k oil around the \u20ac4.50 mark to stretch out scarcer Italian domestic supplies.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Economic Contrast:<\/strong> While the export market runs smoothly in Euros, hyperinflation within Turkey has turned local retail olive oil into an absolute luxury item for everyday domestic citizens.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco<\/p>\n<p>Morocco&#8217;s olive oil sector is experiencing a significant market correction. Plentiful rainfall during critical developmental windows late last year yielded an abundant crop, driving international bulk trading down to par with North African and Spanish baselines.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Milling Hub<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range (MAD \/ EUR equiv.)<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>F\u00e8s-Mekn\u00e8s<\/strong> (Primary Industrial Output Hub)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.00 \u2013 \u20ac4.25\/kg (44\u201347 MAD)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Marrakech-Safi<\/strong> (Premium Orchard Baseline)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.15 \u2013 \u20ac4.40\/kg (46\u201349 MAD)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>B\u00e9ni Mellal-K\u00e9nifra<\/strong> (Cooperative Pressings)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.10 \u2013 \u20ac4.35\/kg (45\u201348 MAD)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Traditional Ma\u00e2sras<\/strong> (Local Unrefined Premium)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac5.00 \u2013 \u20ac5.45\/kg (55\u201360 MAD)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The Post-Crisis Price Slump:<\/strong> Plentiful precipitation late last year burst the high-price bubble, bringing immense relief to consumers and bulk buyers who faced over 100 MAD per liter in previous seasons.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Export Quota Balance:<\/strong> The Moroccan government regulates bulk exports closely to protect domestic supply. Because international prices have softened, the incentive to aggressively dump oil into European streams has cooled.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia<\/p>\n<p>Tunisia is currently a dominant disrupter. Following an absolute blockbuster 2025\/2026 harvest season\u2014with record yields estimated between 380,000 and 400,000 tonnes\u2014Tunisia has surged forward to challenge Spain as a primary provider of bulk export oil, trading between \u20ac3.80\u2013\u20ac4.15\/kg.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Geographic Belt \/ Cultivar Variety<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Sfax \/ Central Plains<\/strong> (Chemlali Variety \u2013 Bulk Tankers)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.80 \u2013 \u20ac4.00\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Sahel Coastal Strip<\/strong> (Chemlali \/ Medium Smooth Grade)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.90 \u2013 \u20ac4.10\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Northern Terraces<\/strong> (Chetoui Variety \u2013 High Robust \/ Premium)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.15 \u2013 \u20ac4.45\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Sidi Bouzid \/ Kairouan<\/strong> (Irrigated Intensive Modern Groves)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac3.95 \u2013 \u20ac4.15\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The European Lifeline:<\/strong> The EU duty-free quota (56,700 t\/year) was fully allocated for the ninth consecutive year in 2025\/26. Remaining volumes are now accessed via the Inward Processing Regime (IPR).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bottled vs. Bulk Strategy:<\/strong> Tunisia is executing a long-term push to process, bottle, and brand the oil domestically \u2014 and is currently negotiating with the EU to double the duty-free quota to 100,000 tonnes\/year.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia<\/p>\n<p>The wholesale landscape in Croatia defies broader European trends. Operating almost exclusively in a low-volume, boutique tier under 5,000 tonnes annually, Croatia does not trade in industrial bulk tankers, dealing instead in small stainless steel INOX batches handled by premium family estates.<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Producing Region<\/th>\n<th>Wholesale EVOO Price Range<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Istria Peninsula<\/strong> (Ultra-Premium \/ High Polyphenol)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac13.50 \u2013 \u20ac16.00\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Zadar \/ Northern Dalmatia<\/strong> (Boutique Cooperatives)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac11.00 \u2013 \u20ac13.00\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Southern Dalmatia &amp; Islands<\/strong> (Traditional Hand-Picked)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac10.00 \u2013 \u20ac12.50\/kg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><strong style=\"font-size:14px;\">Key Market Dynamics Right Now:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The &#8220;Olive Tourism&#8221; Phenomenon:<\/strong> Independent mills find it far more profitable to sell their stock &#8220;at the doorstep&#8221; to millions of summer tourists or high-end local restaurants rather than entering competitive international markets.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Award Season Boost:<\/strong> Multiple Croatian producers won medals at the 2026 NYIOOC World Olive Oil Competition, reinforcing Istria&#8217;s global reputation and supporting the premium price tier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- POLYPHENOL --><br \/>\n\ud83e\uddec Polyphenol &amp; Quality Profile Index<\/p>\n<p>Polyphenols are the key health-active antioxidants in EVOO. EU health claim threshold: 250 mg\/kg. Click any origin to see full details.<\/p>\n<p>    Range (mg\/kg)<br \/>\n    EU Claim<br \/>\n    Key Variety<br \/>\n  <strong>EU Health Claim (Regulation 432\/2012):<\/strong> An olive oil may carry the claim &#8220;olive oil polyphenols contribute to the protection of blood lipids from oxidative stress&#8221; only if it contains \u2265250 mg\/kg of hydroxytyrosol and its derivatives. Always request the Certificate of Analysis (CoA).<br \/>\n<!-- STRATEGIC INSIGHTS --><br \/>\n    <!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\n         GLOBAL PRODUCERS \u2014 BEYOND THE MEDITERRANEAN\n    \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 --><br \/>\n    \ud83c\udf0d Global Producers \u2014 Beyond the Mediterranean<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 14px;line-height:1.6;\">While the Mediterranean basin remains the undisputed centre of global olive oil production, a growing number of producers outside the region are gaining market share \u2014 particularly in the Southern Hemisphere and the Middle East. The following overview tracks key non-Mediterranean origins monitored by the MOPI.<\/p>\n<p>    <!-- MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA --><br \/>\n    Middle East &amp; North Africa<br \/>\n    \ud83c\udde9\ud83c\uddff Algeria<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">Algeria ranks among the world&#8217;s top ten olive oil producers, sitting just behind the major Mediterranean players. The 2025\/26 season is shaping up to be a record year, with the IOC projecting output of up to <strong>150,000 tonnes<\/strong> \u2014 potentially double the previous season. Domestic consumption averages approximately 81,000 tonnes\/year, meaning the record harvest could generate Algeria&#8217;s first meaningful exportable surplus in years.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Region \/ Grade<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Wholesale Price Range<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Kabylie Region<\/strong> (Traditional)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac5.50 \u2013 \u20ac7.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Premium mountain-grown oil. Organics achieved gold medal at Geneva 2023.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Industrial \/ Bulk<\/strong> (National)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac4.20 \u2013 \u20ac5.50\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Primarily for domestic market. Export infrastructure still developing.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul style=\"margin:8px 0 14px;padding-left:20px;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:7px;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Emerging Exporter:<\/strong> Algeria exported only ~1,000 tonnes in 2023\/24 \u2014 minimal on a global scale. However, the record 2025\/26 harvest is expected to generate pressure to export surpluses, with the EU and Arab Gulf markets as primary targets.<\/li>\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:7px;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Infrastructure Gap:<\/strong> Algeria currently lacks the bottling and certification infrastructure to compete on quality at scale. The government has inaugurated its first EU-standard olive analysis laboratory in partnership with the EU, signalling intent to develop export capacity.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>    \ud83c\uddf8\ud83c\uddfe Syria<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">Syria was historically the world&#8217;s third-largest olive oil producer before the civil war devastated its agricultural sector. Following the fall of the Assad government in late 2024, Syria&#8217;s new administration has signalled free-market reforms and a drive to revive olive oil exports \u2014 a sector of deep cultural and economic significance in the country&#8217;s northwest (Idlib, Aleppo, Latakia regions).<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Regione<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Price Range (USD equiv.)<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Northwest Syria<\/strong> (Idlib\/Aleppo)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$4.80 \u2013 $5.30\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Recent export transactions (Feb 2026) at ~$5.27\/kg. Ancient Rumi &amp; Sorani varieties.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>Coastal Latakia<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">$4.50 \u2013 $5.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">High quality, traditional hand-harvest. Limited export infrastructure.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul style=\"margin:8px 0 14px;padding-left:20px;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:7px;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Post-Conflict Recovery:<\/strong> Syrian olive oil exports peaked at ~51,000 tonnes in 2019 before the conflict severely disrupted production. The new government&#8217;s free-market reform agenda and EU engagement signal a potential revival \u2014 watch this space over the next 2-3 seasons.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size:14px;\"><strong>Buyer Caution:<\/strong> Logistics, certification and payment infrastructure remain fragile. Buyers interested in Syrian sourcing should conduct enhanced due diligence on export documentation and chain-of-custody.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>    \ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf4 Jordan<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">Jordan is a historically self-sufficient producer of premium EVOO, but the 2025\/26 season has been severely impacted by drought and alternate-bearing cycles, with output expected to fall by approximately 50%. The Ministry of Agriculture has launched emergency measures including allowing limited imports from Tunisia, Lebanon and Spain, and suspending green olive exports to protect domestic supply.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Region \/ Variety<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Typical Price Range<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Ajloun \/ Jerash<\/strong> (Rumi variety)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac6.00 \u2013 \u20ac8.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Premium quality. Limited volumes. Primarily domestic &amp; Gulf markets.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>National average<\/strong> (2025\/26)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Supply constrained<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Output down ~50% YoY. Government exploring imports. Not a reliable export source this season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>    \ud83c\uddf1\ud83c\udde7 Lebanon<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">Lebanon produces small volumes of exceptionally high-quality EVOO, primarily from the Souri (Sevillano) variety in mountain regions of the South, Bekaa Valley and North Lebanon. Despite severe economic crisis, Lebanon&#8217;s olive oil sector has shown resilience \u2014 per capita consumption of 3.8 kg\/year (IOC data) places Lebanon among the world&#8217;s top consumers, and premium Lebanese EVOO commands strong prices in the Arab diaspora and specialty markets.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Regione<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Price Range<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>South Lebanon \/ Hasbaya<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac7.00 \u2013 \u20ac10.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Ancient Souri variety. Ultra-premium positioning. Very limited volumes.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>Bekaa Valley \/ North<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">\u20ac5.50 \u2013 \u20ac7.50\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Broader production base. Exported to Gulf, Europe and diaspora markets.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>    <!-- NEW WORLD PRODUCERS --><br \/>\n    New World Producers<br \/>\n    \ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">Argentina is the largest olive oil producer outside the Mediterranean, and one of the world&#8217;s most exciting quality stories. Centred in the Mendoza, La Rioja and San Juan provinces at the foot of the Andes, Argentine EVOO \u2014 particularly from the native <strong>Arauco<\/strong> variety \u2014 regularly tops international competition. The producer Laur was ranked <strong>#1 EVOO Producer in the World<\/strong> by EVOO World Rankings for three consecutive years (2021-2023). Argentina accounts for approximately <strong>1.84%<\/strong> of global olive oil exports by value (Tridge, 2026).<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Region \/ Grade<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Export Price Range (USD)<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Mendoza<\/strong> (Arauco \u2014 Premium)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$7.00 \u2013 $11.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">High polyphenols (700+ mg\/kg). Award-winning producers. Premium export tier.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>La Rioja \/ San Juan<\/strong> (Commercial EVOO)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$3.80 \u2013 $5.50\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Bulk export grade. Major supplier to Chile and Brazil. Competitive with Spanish prices.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>Harvest season<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">April \u2013 June<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Southern Hemisphere \u2014 counter-seasonal to Europe. Fresh oil available May-July.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul style=\"margin:8px 0 14px;padding-left:20px;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:7px;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Counter-Seasonal Advantage:<\/strong> Argentina harvests in April-June \u2014 exactly when Northern Hemisphere stocks are oldest. This makes fresh Argentine EVOO attractive for quality-focused buyers in the June-August window.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size:14px;\"><strong>Export Growth:<\/strong> Argentine olive oil exports surged +111.85% in value terms in 2025\/26 (Tridge). The falling peso makes Argentine exports highly competitive priced in USD.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>    \ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf1 Chile<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">Chile is a growing olive oil producer and exporter, with production concentrated in the O&#8217;Higgins, Maule and Atacama regions. Chile accounts for approximately <strong>1.00%<\/strong> of global olive oil exports by value. Primary export markets are Brazil, the United States and Spain. The 2025\/26 season has seen a significant market contraction, with import values falling 55.7% and proxy prices declining 42.9% year-on-year as the global price correction ripples through South American markets.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Grade<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Export Price Range (USD)<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Premium EVOO<\/strong> (Arbequina\/Picual)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$5.50 \u2013 $8.70\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">European varieties planted in Atacama. Strong polyphenol profile.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>Commercial bulk EVOO<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">$4.00 \u2013 $5.50\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Down 42.9% YoY in 2025\/26. Argentine competition keeping prices low.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>    \ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">Australia produces premium EVOO primarily in South Australia, Victoria and Western Australia, with the sector strongly positioned around quality, transparency and traceability \u2014 all certified under the strict <strong>Australian Olive Association (AOA)<\/strong> standards, which are among the most rigorous in the world. Australian EVOO is harvested March-June and commands a premium positioning in Asian and domestic markets.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Grade \/ Region<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Wholesale Price Range (AUD\/USD)<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>Premium EVOO<\/strong> (South Australia\/Victoria)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">AUD 10\u201318\/kg ($6.50\u2013$11.50)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">AOA-certified. Strong polyphenol profile. Counter-seasonal freshness April-June.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>Commercial EVOO<\/strong> (bulk)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">AUD 7\u201310\/kg ($4.50\u2013$6.50)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Limited export volumes. Primarily domestic and Asian market-focused.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul style=\"margin:8px 0 14px;padding-left:20px;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:7px;font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quality Leader:<\/strong> Australia consistently punches above its weight in international competitions. The AOA certification scheme requires independent lab testing and sensory panel assessment \u2014 making Australian EVOO one of the most reliably certified grades in the world.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size:14px;\"><strong>Growing Asian Demand:<\/strong> Japan, China and South Korea are the primary export markets for Australian EVOO, driven by the health-positioning of the product and its counter-seasonal freshness advantage.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>    \ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 United States (California)<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:0 0 10px;line-height:1.6;\">California is the only significant olive oil producing region in the United States, centred in the Sacramento and San Joaquin Valleys. The state produces ultra-premium EVOO primarily from Spanish varieties (Arbequina, Arbosana, Koroneiki) under the rigorous <strong>California Olive Oil Council (COOC)<\/strong> certification. The US accounts for approximately <strong>0.51%<\/strong> of global olive oil exports by value \u2014 a small producer but a highly influential quality standard-setter.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 16px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Grade \/ Producer<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Wholesale Price Range (USD)<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Notes<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>California COOC-Certified EVOO<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$8.00 \u2013 $15.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Ultra-premium domestic positioning. COOC standards exceed USDA and IOC requirements.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>Super-High-Density (SHD) commercial<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">$5.50 \u2013 $8.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Machine-harvested Arbequina. Consistent quality. Growing volume from large SHD orchards.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<ul style=\"margin:8px 0 14px;padding-left:20px;\">\n<li style=\"margin-bottom:7px;font-size:14px;\"><strong>The Tariff Factor:<\/strong> The Trump administration&#8217;s 10% baseline tariff on all imports (April 2026) has made imported EVOO more expensive for US consumers, creating a competitive opening for domestic California producers. The NAOOA (National Olive Oil Association) is actively lobbying against tariffs that harm the broader market.<\/li>\n<li style=\"font-size:14px;\"><strong>Quality Benchmark:<\/strong> California&#8217;s COOC certification is widely considered the world&#8217;s most stringent olive oil standard, requiring acidity below 0.5% (vs. IOC&#8217;s 0.8%) and regular independent lab testing. California EVOO is the quality reference point for the entire US market.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>    <!-- GLOBAL PRODUCTION OVERVIEW TABLE --><br \/>\n    Global Production Context \u2014 MOPI Reference Table<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;color:#666;margin:0 0 12px;font-style:italic;\">Share of global olive oil exports by value. Source: Tridge \/ IOC, 2025\/26 season.<\/p>\n<table style=\"width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;margin:10px 0 20px;font-size:13px;box-shadow:0 2px 8px rgba(0,0,0,.07);border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Paese<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Export Share<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">EVOO Price Tier<\/th>\n<th style=\"background:#556b2f;color:#fff;text-align:left;padding:10px 13px;font-weight:600;font-size:12px;\">Harvest Season<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\udde9\ud83c\uddff Algeria<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Emerging (&lt;0.1%)<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac4.20\u2013\u20ac7.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Jan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddf8\ud83c\uddfe Syria<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Recovery phase<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$4.80\u2013$5.30\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Dec<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddef\ud83c\uddf4 Jordan<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Minor exporter<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac6.00\u2013\u20ac8.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Sep \u2013 Nov<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddf1\ud83c\udde7 Lebanon<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Minor exporter<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">\u20ac5.50\u2013\u20ac10.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Oct \u2013 Dec<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddf7 Argentina<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~1.84%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$3.80\u2013$11.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Apr \u2013 Jun \u2b50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf1 Chile<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">~1.00%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">$4.00\u2013$8.70\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Apr \u2013 Jun \u2b50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\"><strong>\ud83c\udde6\ud83c\uddfa Australia<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">&lt;0.5%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">AUD 7\u201318\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;border-bottom:1px solid #e0e8d0;\">Mar \u2013 Jun \u2b50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr style=\"background:#f8faf4;\">\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\"><strong>\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 USA (California)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">~0.51%<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">$5.50\u2013$15.00\/kg<\/td>\n<td style=\"padding:9px 13px;\">Oct \u2013 Jan<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p style=\"font-size:12px;color:#999;font-style:italic;margin:0 0 20px;\">\u2b50 Southern Hemisphere \u2014 counter-seasonal to Mediterranean. Fresh oil available May-July when Northern Hemisphere stocks are oldest.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83e\uddee MOPI Delivered Cost Calculator<\/p>\n<p>Calculate the full landed cost of bulk EVOO from any Mediterranean origin to your destination. Enter your parameters for an instant cost breakdown.<\/p>\n<p>    <label style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#8b9d77;display:block;margin-bottom:4px;\">Origin<\/label><br \/>\n    <select id=\"clc-o\" style=\"width:100%;padding:8px 10px;border:1px solid #dde8cc;border-radius:5px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:#333;background:#fff;\"><option value=\"3.90\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf3 Tunisia (Sfax) &#8211; EUR3.90\/kg<\/option><option value=\"3.93\" selected>\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddf8 Spain (Jaen) &#8211; EUR3.93\/kg<\/option><option value=\"4.44\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Chania) &#8211; EUR4.44\/kg<\/option><option value=\"5.25\">\ud83c\uddec\ud83c\uddf7 Greece (Mani) &#8211; EUR5.25\/kg<\/option><option value=\"4.35\">\ud83c\uddf5\ud83c\uddf9 Portugal &#8211; EUR4.35\/kg<\/option><option value=\"4.55\">\ud83c\uddf9\ud83c\uddf7 Turkey (Izmir) &#8211; EUR4.55\/kg<\/option><option value=\"4.20\">\ud83c\uddf2\ud83c\udde6 Morocco &#8211; EUR4.20\/kg<\/option><option value=\"6.35\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Bari) &#8211; EUR6.35\/kg<\/option><option value=\"8.15\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf9 Italy (Tuscany PDO) &#8211; EUR8.15\/kg<\/option><option value=\"14.75\">\ud83c\udded\ud83c\uddf7 Croatia (Istria) &#8211; EUR14.75\/kg<\/option><\/select><br \/>\n    <label style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#8b9d77;display:block;margin-bottom:4px;\">Quantity (tonnes)<\/label><br \/>\n    <input id=\"clc-q\" type=\"number\" value=\"20\" min=\"1\" max=\"10000\" style=\"width:100%;padding:8px 10px;border:1px solid #dde8cc;border-radius:5px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:#333;box-sizing:border-box;\"><br \/>\n    <label style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#8b9d77;display:block;margin-bottom:4px;\">Destination<\/label><br \/>\n    <select id=\"clc-d\" style=\"width:100%;padding:8px 10px;border:1px solid #dde8cc;border-radius:5px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:#333;background:#fff;\"><option value=\"0,1,EUR\">Within EU (no duty)<\/option><option value=\"0.18,0.867,GBP\">UK (GBP)<\/option><option value=\"0.22,1.165,USD\">USA (USD, +10% tariff)<\/option><option value=\"0.25,1.621,AUD\">Australia (AUD)<\/option><option value=\"0.20,185.5,JPY\">Japan (JPY)<\/option><option value=\"0.20,1.165,USD\">Other non-EU (USD)<\/option><\/select><br \/>\n    <label style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:1.5px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#8b9d77;display:block;margin-bottom:4px;\">Customs<\/label><br \/>\n    <select id=\"clc-c\" style=\"width:100%;padding:8px 10px;border:1px solid #dde8cc;border-radius:5px;font-size:12px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;color:#333;background:#fff;\"><option value=\"0\">EU \/ Duty-Free<\/option><option value=\"1.245\">Standard EU Tariff (EUR1.245\/kg)<\/option><option value=\"0\">Tunisia Duty-Free Quota<\/option><\/select><br \/>\n    <button onclick=\"runCalc()\" style=\"padding:9px 22px;background:#3d4f22;color:#fff;border:none;border-radius:5px;font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:12px;font-weight:700;cursor:pointer;\">Calculate \u2192<\/button><br \/>\nStrategic Market Insights &amp; Logistics<br \/>\n<strong>\ud83d\ude9a Forward Contracting Window \u2014 Act Now:<\/strong> OliveA confirmed 880,000 tonnes (70% of 2025\/26 season) contracted, with stocks at campaign lows. Preliminary 2026\/27 flowering fertility is down 37%. Historical data shows May\u2013June accounts for ~21.5% of annual Spanish export volume. The window for locking in sub-\u20ac4.00 Spanish EVOO is closing. Tridge identifies Q3 2026 as the last entry point before 2026\/27 supply uncertainty materialises.<br \/>\n<strong>\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddfa EU Duty-Free Quotas &amp; IPR Framework:<\/strong> Tunisia&#8217;s 56,700 tonne\/year duty-free quota (EU Reg. 2020\/761) is fully allocated for the ninth consecutive year in 2025\/26. Additional volumes enter via Inward Processing Regime (IPR) \u2014 duty-free if blended with EU oil and re-exported. With Tunisia winning 49 Geneva EIOO gold medals this year, IPR supply contracts combining Tunisian quality with EU access are the most commercially attractive position right now.<br \/>\n<strong>\ud83e\uddea Quality Intelligence \u2014 Week of May 29:<\/strong> Greek Koroneiki (Peloponnese) tracking toward 500+ mg\/kg polyphenol profiles under optimal early fruit set (24\u201329\u00b0C, dry). Tunisian Chetoui (northern terraces) registering near-zero acidity lots following the 2025\/26 harvest \u2014 increasingly targeted by premium EU bottlers. Spanish Picual quality under watch: Andalusia entering fruit set at 30\u201336\u00b0C; any sustained heat above 38\u00b0C for >5 consecutive days risks yield quality reduction. Croatian Istrian oils (full bloom, 18\u201324\u00b0C) tracking for another record quality season.<br \/>\n<strong>\ud83d\uded2 Retail Margin Squeeze \u2014 AGCM Probe Underway:<\/strong> Italy&#8217;s antitrust authority (AGCM) is examining how supermarket chains are using discounted EVOO pricing to squeeze producer margins. Despite Spain hitting a 5-year wholesale low (\u20ac3.93\/kg, \u221250.3% YoY), European supermarket shelf prices have fallen only 8\u201315% on average. Coldiretti estimates Italian producers are losing \u20ac180\u2013220 million\/year in lost margin. The AGCM probe outcome (expected Q3 2026) could force pricing adjustments that ripple through EU retail and partially close the MOPI Retail Gap.<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size:13px;font-weight:700;color:#3d4f22;margin:24px 0 10px;text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:1px;\">Historical Price Context (May 2026 vs. May 2025)<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Market Benchmark (EVOO Bulk)<\/th>\n<th>Current Price (May 2026)<\/th>\n<th>Historical Price (May 2025)<\/th>\n<th>Year-over-Year Change<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Spagna<\/strong> (Ja\u00e9n Baseline)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.07\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac7.80\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2193 -47.8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Italy<\/strong> (Bari Premium)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac6.43\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac9.20\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2193 -30.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Grecia<\/strong> (Chania Average)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.55\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac6.90\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2193 -34.0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tunisia<\/strong> (Sfax Export)<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac4.15\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u20ac6.50\/kg<\/td>\n<td>\u2193 -36.1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<hr>\n<p><!-- RISK MATRIX --><br \/>\nQ3 2026 Risk Assessment Matrix<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Risk Factor<\/th>\n<th>Impact Level<\/th>\n<th>Mitigation Strategy<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Supply Shock 2026\/27<\/strong> \u2014 Spain flowering \u221237%, 70% sold<\/td>\n<td>High<\/td>\n<td>Lock forward contracts NOW. May\u2013June is the peak entry window. OliveA warning is credible \u2014 same pattern as 2023\/24 price spike.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tunisia Quota Exhaustion<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>High<\/td>\n<td>2025\/26 EU duty-free quota fully allocated. Switch to IPR framework immediately for continued duty-free access to Tunisian EVOO.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>EUR\/USD at 1.165<\/strong> (May 29)<\/td>\n<td>Medium<\/td>\n<td>EUR strengthened vs USD in May. Hedge FX for USD-denominated contracts above \u20ac50k. ECB June rate decision could shift further.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>AGCM Antitrust Probe (Italy)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>Medium<\/td>\n<td>Italian probe into supermarket EVOO pricing could force shelf price realignment in Q3 2026, affecting EU private-label contract terms.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Export Policy Risk<\/strong> (Turkey\/Morocco)<\/td>\n<td>Medium<\/td>\n<td>Turkey lifted export ban but domestic inflation could prompt reversal. Morocco manages quotas to protect domestic supply. Diversify across 3+ origins.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Heat Stress<\/strong> (Andalusia, June\u2013July)<\/td>\n<td>Low\u2013Med<\/td>\n<td>30\u201336\u00b0C at fruit set is manageable. Risk escalates if >38\u00b0C for 5+ consecutive days. Monitor Seville\/Ja\u00e9n AgriForecasts weekly through July.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>  <strong style=\"color:#7a5a0a;font-size:14px;\">How to Interpret Market Corrections: A Quick Guide<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul style=\"margin-top:10px;\">\n<li><strong>The 15% Correction Threshold:<\/strong> A price drop of 15% or more signals a shift from &#8220;scarcity-driven&#8221; to &#8220;volume-driven&#8221; trading; market panic has subsided.<\/li>\n<li><strong>&#8220;Hand-to-Mouth&#8221; Trading:<\/strong> Buyers purchase only what they need for the immediate future (2\u20134 weeks), usually expecting further price drops.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Regional Price Gap:<\/strong> Large gaps between countries often signal arbitrage opportunities for major bottlers.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Retail Time-Lag:<\/strong> Shelf prices typically move with a 60\u201390 day delay compared to wholesale market adjustments.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Quality Parameters:<\/strong> Always verify if prices refer to Extra Virgin (low acidity) or industrial grades, as quality drives significant price variance.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Polyphenol Content:<\/strong> Certificates of Analysis (CoA) confirming mg\/kg polyphenols are increasingly requested by health-positioned EU and US buyers. Anything above 250 mg\/kg qualifies for the EU health claim.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!-- NEWSLETTER --><br \/>\n  Methodology &amp; Data Sources<\/p>\n<p>The Mediterrolio Index (MOPI) weekly price data is aggregated from a proprietary network of sources, including:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Official Benchmarks:<\/strong> International Olive Council (IOC) and EU DG AGRI dashboards.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Market Indices:<\/strong> Oleista.com (last update May 29, 2026 \u2014 Spain W22, Italy\/Greece W21) \u00b7 IOC producer price bulletins \u00b7 POOLred\/Mercacei.<\/li>\n<li><strong>On-the-Ground Intelligence:<\/strong> Direct reports from regional agricultural cooperatives in Greece, Spain, and Tunisia.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Freight Logistics:<\/strong> Aggregated bulk tanker rate trends across key Mediterranean transit corridors.<\/li>\n<li><strong>FX Rates:<\/strong> ECB reference rates and Google Finance (May 29, 2026). EUR\/USD 1.165 \u00b7 EUR\/GBP 0.867 \u00b7 EUR\/JPY 185.5 \u00b7 EUR\/AUD 1.621.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Polyphenol Data:<\/strong> Published laboratory CoA results and peer-reviewed cultivar studies.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"margin-top:8px;font-style:italic;\">Note: Prices represent wholesale &#8220;ex-works&#8221; bulk volumes. Retail shelf prices and specific premium estate pricing may vary significantly based on local certification and packaging costs.<\/p>\n<p><!-- CTA --><br \/>\n  Join the Network<br \/>\n  Are you an Olive Oil Producer?<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;color:rgba(255,255,255,0.8);margin:0 auto 26px;max-width:520px;line-height:1.65;\">Join the Mediterrolio Network today to showcase your brand, connect directly with global B2B buyers, and stay ahead with exclusive market intelligence.<\/p>\n<p>  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/it\/registration\/\"\n     style=\"display:inline-block;background-color:#c9a84c;color:#2c1f00;text-decoration:none;padding:13px 32px;font-family:Inter,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;border-radius:4px;letter-spacing:0.5px;white-space:nowrap;\">Register Your Business &rarr;<\/a><br \/>\n  Annual membership \u00b7 Olive oil brands, professionals &amp; partners welcome<br \/>\n<!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\n     PAST REPORTS ARCHIVE BAR\n\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 --><br \/>\n    Archive<br \/>\n    Previous Weekly Reports<br \/>\n    Select a week to read the full report<br \/>\n  <!-- MONTH FILTER TABS --><br \/>\n  <!-- WEEKS GRID --><br \/>\n    Loading reports&#8230;<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-family:Arial,sans-serif;font-size:11px;color:#bbb;text-align:center;margin-top:16px;font-style:italic;\">\n    Reports are published every Friday. New reports are added automatically each week.\n  <\/p>\n<p>\u00a9 2026 Mediterrolio Market Intelligence. The Mediterrolio Index (MOPI) is published every Friday. All data sourced from IOC, Mercacei (POOLred), Oleista and regional field cooperatives.<br \/>\n<!-- \/#mro-root --><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Weekly Intelligence Report The Mediterrolio Index Mediterranean Olive Oil Price Index (MOPI) | May 29, 2026 Updated: May 29, 2026 Weekly Intelligence \ud83d\udcec Get the Report in Your Inbox Join 4,000+ olive oil professionals \u2014 producers, importers, traders and investors \u2014 who receive the Mediterrolio Market Update every Friday morning. Subscribe \u2192 \ud83c\udf81 New subscribers [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":14417,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1381],"tags":[1383,1386,1384,1385,1382],"class_list":["post-14456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-report","tag-evoo-wholesale","tag-market-report","tag-mediterranean-olive-oil","tag-olive-oil-market","tag-olive-oil-prices"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mediterrolio Olive Oil Market Report \u2014 Week of May 29, 2026 - Mediterrolio<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Mediterrolio weekly olive oil market report. 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