{"id":13941,"date":"2025-12-27T18:13:42","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T16:13:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/?p=13941"},"modified":"2025-12-27T18:15:50","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T16:15:50","slug":"greek-olive-oil-forecast-2035-a-sector-under-pressure","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/it\/greek-olive-oil-forecast-2035-a-sector-under-pressure\/","title":{"rendered":"Greek Olive Oil Forecast 2035 \u2014 A Sector Under Pressure"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The European Commission\u2019s <em>EU Agricultural Outlook 2025\u20132035<\/em> offers a revealing picture of how olive oil production across Europe is expected to evolve over the next decade. For <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mediterrolio.com\/explore\/?type=olive-oil-brands&amp;region=greece&amp;sort=latest\">Grecia<\/a>, one of the EU\u2019s most traditional and quality-driven producers, the <strong>Greek olive oil forecast 2035<\/strong> points to a sector facing mounting structural and climate-related pressures.<\/p>\n<h3>A shifting EU olive oil landscape<\/h3>\n<p>At EU level, olive oil production is projected to remain broadly stable through 2035. This stability, however, will be driven primarily by Spain and Portugal, where large-scale investment in high-density, irrigated olive groves and advanced farming techniques is improving productivity and reducing volatility.<\/p>\n<p>Spain\u2019s olive oil production is forecast to approach <strong>1.8 million tonnes annually<\/strong>, while Portugal\u2019s output could reach <strong>around 200,000 tonnes per year<\/strong> by 2035. These gains underline a clear shift toward more capital-intensive and water-managed production models.<\/p>\n<h3>Greek olive oil: declining volumes ahead<\/h3>\n<p>By contrast, the <strong>Greek olive oil forecast 2035<\/strong> suggests a gradual decline in domestic output. From approximately <strong>250,000 tonnes in the 2024\/25 season<\/strong>, Greek production could fall <strong>below 180,000 tonnes annually<\/strong> if current trends persist.<\/p>\n<p>Key drivers behind this outlook include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Climate change and more frequent heatwaves<\/li>\n<li>Prolonged droughts and water scarcity<\/li>\n<li>Aging, largely rain-fed olive groves<\/li>\n<li>Limited adoption of modern cultivation systems<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>These factors are expected to reduce both cultivated area and average yields, increasing production uncertainty year after year.<\/p>\n<h3>Consumption and market dynamics<\/h3>\n<p>The outlook also highlights changes on the demand side. Per-capita <a href=\"https:\/\/en.parapolitika.gr\/economy\/81030\/how-much-olive-oil-does-a-family-consume-yearly-and-what-will-it-cost-in-2025\/\">olive oil consumption in Greece<\/a> \u2014 traditionally among the highest globally \u2014 is projected to decline slightly by 2035. Persistently high prices and evolving dietary habits across the EU are influencing consumption patterns, adding further pressure to the market.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Spain and Portugal are expected to strengthen their roles as net exporters, while countries with declining output, including Greece, may face higher reliance on imports to balance supply.<\/p>\n<h3>The strategic challenge ahead<\/h3>\n<p>Despite the difficult projections, the report also reinforces Greece\u2019s key competitive advantage: <strong>quality<\/strong>. Greek olive oil\u2019s strong geographic identity, premium characteristics, and PDO\/PGI potential remain critical assets.<\/p>\n<p>\ud83d\udd0d <strong>Key takeaway:<\/strong><br \/>\nAccording to the <strong>Greek olive oil forecast 2035<\/strong>, the next decade will be decisive. Long-term sustainability will depend on climate adaptation, improved water management, modernization of groves, and a strategic shift toward branded, value-added olive oil rather than bulk exports.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The European Commission\u2019s EU Agricultural Outlook 2025\u20132035 offers a revealing picture of how olive oil production across Europe is expected to evolve over the next decade. For Greece, one of the EU\u2019s most traditional and quality-driven producers, the Greek olive oil forecast 2035 points to a sector facing mounting structural and climate-related pressures. A shifting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":13942,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1356,429,434,1327],"tags":[422,1324,1363,1328],"class_list":["post-13941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-farming","category-greek-olive-oils","category-olive-oil-market","category-olive-oil-production","tag-evoo","tag-extra-virgin-olive-oil","tag-greek-olive-oil","tag-olive-oil-production"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Greek Olive Oil Forecast 2035 \u2014 A Sector Under Pressure - Mediterrolio<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Greek olive oil forecast 2035 shows declining production and the need for modernization to protect Greece\u2019s olive oil sector.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"it_IT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Greek Olive Oil Forecast 2035 \u2014 A Sector Under Pressure - 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